riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

McHenry County Disaster Risk

McHenry County, Illinois

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

91th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#10

of 102 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

93th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 93% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 32% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively High

Higher than 96% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 75% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 10% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in McHenry County, Illinois

McHenry faces above-average risk

McHenry County's composite risk score of 90.78 places it in the Relatively Moderate category, well above Illinois's state average of 54.46. This elevated profile makes McHenry one of the state's higher-risk counties overall.

Among Illinois's riskiest counties

McHenry County ranks as one of the highest-risk counties in Illinois, with exceptionally high tornado (96.34) and flood (93.10) risks. Its wildfire risk of 31.62 is notably elevated compared to most Illinois counties.

Riskier than most surrounding areas

McHenry County's composite score of 90.78 is comparable to Madison County (93.42) and McLean County (86.90), placing it among the state's most vulnerable regions. It significantly exceeds the risk profiles of most other northern Illinois counties.

Flooding and tornadoes are paramount

McHenry County faces a flood risk of 93.10 and tornado risk of 96.34—both extraordinarily high and among the state's worst. These dual threats make comprehensive preparedness and proper insurance coverage essential for all residents.

Flood and wind coverage are critical

McHenry County's extreme flood (93.10) and tornado (96.34) risks mean flood insurance and wind damage coverage are not optional. Consider reinforcing your home's structural integrity and maintaining a well-supplied emergency shelter space.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in McHenry County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    96th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    93th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    75th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: McHenry County

Risk Verdict

FEMA's National Risk Index rates McHenry County at the 91th percentile nationally — above average and worth proactive preparation. Residents should prioritize a formal household emergency plan, including evacuation routes, insurance review, and a well-stocked emergency kit.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is McHenry County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 96th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 93th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (75th percentile), wildfire (32th percentile), hurricane (10th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With tornado ranked at the 96th percentile nationally, McHenry County sits in a high-exposure zone where the difference between outcomes often comes down to proximity to a reinforced interior shelter and seconds of warning time. Flood is the second hazard driver for McHenry County at the 93th percentile nationally, meaning households should maintain awareness of both severe-weather and flood-specific warning systems. For McHenry County households, safe rooms certified to FEMA 320/361 standards offer the highest protection during a direct tornado hit; households without a safe room should locate the innermost lowest-floor room in their building and practice the route to it before storm season.

Regional Context

McHenry County is 36.3 composite risk points above the Illinois average, indicating that residents face greater natural hazard exposure than most of their in-state neighbors.

Is your household prepared for McHenry County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in McHenry County, IL?
McHenry County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 91th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect McHenry County?
McHenry County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (96th percentile), flooding (93th percentile), earthquake (75th percentile), wildfire (32th percentile), hurricane (10th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 96th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does McHenry County risk compare to the Illinois average?
McHenry County's composite risk percentile is 91th, compared to the Illinois state average of 55th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means McHenry County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Illinois.
Is McHenry County at risk for tornado?
Yes, McHenry County's tornado risk is at the 96th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, McHenry County is at the 93th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is McHenry County higher risk than average?
McHenry County's composite risk score of 91th percentile is above the Illinois state average of 55th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (96th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.