riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Rock Island County Disaster Risk

Rock Island County, Illinois

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

84th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#19

of 102 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

79th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 79% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 9% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 91% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 62% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 14% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Rock Island County, Illinois

Rock Island's moderate risk profile

Rock Island County scores 84.13 on the composite risk scale, placing it in the Relatively Moderate category—well above Illinois's state average of 54.46. This means residents face significantly higher natural disaster exposure than the typical Illinois county, driven primarily by tornado and flood vulnerabilities.

Above average among Illinois counties

Rock Island ranks among the riskier counties in Illinois, with its 84.13 composite score exceeding 73% of the state's other counties. The county's tornado risk of 91.00 is particularly notable, placing it in the upper tier statewide for severe weather exposure.

Riskier than most neighbors

Rock Island's risk score of 84.13 substantially exceeds nearby Scott County (2.77) and Stark County (7.25), which are among Illinois's safest. However, it falls below the extreme risk levels seen in neighboring St. Clair County (94.91), making Rock Island moderately vulnerable by regional comparison.

Tornadoes and floods dominate

Tornadoes pose the greatest threat with a risk score of 91.00, while flooding comes in second at 79.45—both substantially above state averages. Wildfire and hurricane risks are minimal at 8.71 and 13.77 respectively, so local preparedness should focus on severe convective weather and water management.

Prioritize tornado and flood coverage

Rock Island residents should ensure robust homeowners insurance that covers tornado damage and have separate flood insurance through the National Flood Insurance Program. Consider reinforcing above-ground shelter spaces and maintaining emergency supplies for severe weather season, particularly spring and early summer.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Rock Island County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    91th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    79th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    62th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Rock Island County

Risk Verdict

At the 84th percentile nationally, Rock Island County sits in the upper half of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure. At this risk level, having a documented household preparedness plan — not just awareness — is the meaningful next step for Rock Island County residents.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Rock Island County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 91th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 79th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (62th percentile), hurricane (14th percentile), wildfire (9th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Tornado exposure at the 91th percentile nationally makes Rock Island County a county where a battery-powered weather radio — not just smartphone apps — is a worthwhile household investment, given that mobile networks often fail during severe storms. Alongside tornado exposure, flood at the 79th percentile nationally means Rock Island County households face multi-hazard severe-weather seasons that benefit from a single integrated emergency plan covering both threats. In Rock Island County, tornado watches indicate favorable atmospheric conditions while warnings mean rotation has been detected — households benefit from understanding this distinction so they shelter immediately on a warning, not after seeking visual confirmation.

Regional Context

The Illinois county average is 29.7 composite points below Rock Island County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Rock Island County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Rock Island County, IL?
Rock Island County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 84th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Rock Island County?
Rock Island County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (91th percentile), flooding (79th percentile), earthquake (62th percentile), hurricane (14th percentile), wildfire (9th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 91th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Rock Island County risk compare to the Illinois average?
Rock Island County's composite risk percentile is 84th, compared to the Illinois state average of 55th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Rock Island County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Illinois.
Is Rock Island County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Rock Island County's tornado risk is at the 91th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Rock Island County is at the 79th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Rock Island County higher risk than average?
Rock Island County's composite risk score of 84th percentile is above the Illinois state average of 55th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (91th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.