riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Caldwell County Disaster Risk

Caldwell County, Kentucky

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

39th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#66

of 120 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

31th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 31% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 6% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 61% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 86% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 23% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Caldwell County, Kentucky

Caldwell ranks well below national risk

Caldwell County's composite risk score of 38.96 places it in the Very Low category, significantly safer than the national average. This means residents face considerably fewer natural disaster threats than most Americans.

One of Kentucky's safest counties

Caldwell County's score of 38.96 ranks it well below Kentucky's state average of 44.21. Among the commonwealth's 120 counties, this western Kentucky county is among the lowest-risk communities.

Safest in its peer group

Caldwell County's 38.96 score makes it safer than nearby Calloway County (75.35) and much safer than Christian County to the south (79.64). It stands as a genuinely low-risk area within western Kentucky.

Earthquakes pose the main concern

Caldwell County's earthquake risk score of 86.01 is its highest hazard threat, reflecting the region's distance from major fault lines but moderate seismic exposure. Tornado risk at 61.16 presents a secondary but meaningful concern for spring severe weather season.

Focus coverage on earthquake and storms

Though Caldwell County is low-risk overall, homeowners should ensure their standard insurance covers earthquake damage—many policies exclude it. A weather radio and a reinforced safe room offer practical protection during tornado warnings.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Caldwell County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    86th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    61th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    31th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Caldwell County

Risk Verdict

Caldwell County carries a low natural disaster risk burden, scoring at the 39th percentile under the FEMA National Risk Index. Even at the 39th percentile, Caldwell County's composite score reflects real hazard exposure categories — knowing which ones apply locally enables targeted, efficient household preparedness.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Caldwell County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 86th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 61th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (31th percentile), hurricane (23th percentile), wildfire (6th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Caldwell County's primary hazard, earthquake, ranks at the 86th percentile nationally. Unreinforced masonry structures carry the highest injury risk during seismic events; residents in older buildings should check with their municipality about available seismic retrofit programs. Alongside earthquake exposure, Caldwell County's tornado risk at the 61th percentile nationally reinforces the value of maintaining a household emergency supply cache usable for multiple hazard scenarios. After a major earthquake, Caldwell County residents should expect water service disruption for 24 to 72 or more hours. Storing a minimum of one gallon per person per day for three days — before any event — is the most direct preparedness action households can take.

Regional Context

Compared to the Kentucky county average, Caldwell County's composite score runs 5.2 points lower — a gap that reflects the county's relatively modest hazard profile within its state context.

Is your household prepared for Caldwell County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Caldwell County, KY?
Caldwell County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 39th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Caldwell County?
Caldwell County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (86th percentile), tornado (61th percentile), flooding (31th percentile), hurricane (23th percentile), wildfire (6th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 86th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Caldwell County risk compare to the Kentucky average?
Caldwell County's composite risk percentile is 39th, compared to the Kentucky state average of 44th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Caldwell County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Kentucky.
Is Caldwell County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Caldwell County's earthquake risk is at the 86th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Caldwell County is at the 31th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Caldwell County a safe place to live?
Caldwell County's composite risk score of 39th percentile is below the Kentucky state average of 44th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is earthquake at the 86th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.