riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Carroll County Disaster Risk

Carroll County, Kentucky

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

23th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#97

of 120 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

42th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 42% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 3% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 58% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 35% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 13% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Carroll County, Kentucky

Carroll ranks among America's safest

Carroll County's composite score of 23.41 places it in the Very Low category, well below the national average for disaster risk. This northern Kentucky county offers one of the nation's lowest natural hazard exposure profiles.

Second-lowest risk in Kentucky

At 23.41, Carroll County scores 21 points below Kentucky's state average of 44.21, ranking second-lowest in the commonwealth. Only Carlisle County (18.73) has comparable safety from natural disasters.

Safest in northern Kentucky

Carroll County's 23.41 score is substantially lower than Campbell County (58.33) to the east and Caldwell County (38.96) to the west. It stands as the lowest-risk county among its northern and western Kentucky peers.

Tornado and flood risks are moderate

Carroll County's tornado risk of 57.79 is its highest hazard score but still below state average, posing minimal threat during spring storm season. Flood risk at 41.67 reflects the county's river valleys but remains manageable compared to regional neighbors.

Basic preparation covers local needs

Carroll County homeowners benefit from low overall risk, so standard homeowners insurance provides solid coverage for typical hazards. A weather radio and basic emergency supplies offer sufficient protection for this very low-risk area.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Carroll County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    58th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    42th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    35th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Carroll County

Risk Verdict

Natural disaster exposure in Carroll County is lower than roughly three-quarters of U.S. counties, with a composite score at the 23th percentile. Carroll County residents can take confidence from a 23th percentile ranking, but even lower-risk counties benefit from a practiced household communication plan and awareness of the specific hazards listed above.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Carroll County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 58th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 42th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (35th percentile), hurricane (13th percentile), wildfire (3th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Ranked at the 58th percentile nationally for tornado risk, Carroll County is in a zone where storm shelters have the highest per-dollar protective value of any mitigation investment. Carroll County's county shelter map is typically available through the local emergency management office. Flood is the second hazard driver for Carroll County at the 42th percentile nationally, meaning households should maintain awareness of both severe-weather and flood-specific warning systems. Carroll County residents can check the county's emergency management website for community shelter locations nearest their address — a step worth completing now, not during a warning.

Regional Context

Carroll County is 20.8 composite risk points below the Kentucky state mean, meaning most other Kentucky counties face higher natural hazard exposure.

Is your household prepared for Carroll County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Carroll County, KY?
Carroll County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 23th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Carroll County?
Carroll County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (58th percentile), flooding (42th percentile), earthquake (35th percentile), hurricane (13th percentile), wildfire (3th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 58th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Carroll County risk compare to the Kentucky average?
Carroll County's composite risk percentile is 23th, compared to the Kentucky state average of 44th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Carroll County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Kentucky.
Is Carroll County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Carroll County's tornado risk is at the 58th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Carroll County is at the 42th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Carroll County a safe place to live?
Carroll County's composite risk score of 23th percentile is below the Kentucky state average of 44th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is tornado at the 58th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.