riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Morgan County Disaster Risk

Morgan County, Kentucky

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

22th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#98

of 120 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

46th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 46% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 71% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 30% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 37% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 37% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Morgan County, Kentucky

Morgan ranks among safest nationally

Morgan County's composite risk score of 22.07 sits well below the national average, earning a Very Low rating. The county's natural hazard exposure remains minimal across most disaster types.

Substantially safer than Kentucky average

At 22.07, Morgan scores roughly half the state average of 44.21, making it one of Kentucky's genuinely safe counties. This significant protective advantage reflects favorable geography and low hazard concentration.

Among region's safest communities

Morgan's 22.07 ranks it second only to Menifee (6.20) in the immediate area, creating a pocket of exceptional safety. Nearby Metcalfe (21.79) offers similar protection, establishing a truly low-risk region.

Wildfire emerges as chief concern

Wildfire risk scores 70.93 in Morgan—the county's standout hazard and among Kentucky's highest—though forest management limits real-world impact. Hurricane (37.42), flood (45.71), and tornado (29.64) risks remain well below state benchmarks.

Focus on wildfire prevention

Maintain defensible space around your home by clearing brush and dead trees, given Morgan's elevated wildfire risk. Standard homeowners insurance will cover most other natural hazards, and flood insurance is optional unless you're near water features.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Morgan County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    71th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    46th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    37th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Morgan County

Risk Verdict

Morgan County's natural disaster risk is among the lowest in the country, with a composite score at the 22th percentile nationally. A preparedness foundation — alert registration, household communication plan, and a basic supply review — costs little and remains valuable even at Morgan County's favorable 22th percentile ranking.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Morgan County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 71th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 46th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (37th percentile), earthquake (37th percentile), tornado (30th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire is Morgan County's top-ranked natural hazard at the 71th percentile nationally. Morgan County residents should assess whether their property lies within or adjacent to a Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) zone, where ember transport and rapid spread pose the highest risk. The county's flood exposure at the 46th percentile nationally complements the wildfire risk — saturating rain after burn scarring often triggers secondary flood and debris flow events. For Morgan County households, a practiced evacuation plan — with a primary and backup route designated before a fire occurs — provides more protection than any structural improvement when a wildfire approaches fast-moving terrain.

Regional Context

The Kentucky county average exceeds Morgan County's score by 22.1 composite points — placing this county in the lower-risk tier relative to its in-state peers.

Is your household prepared for Morgan County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Morgan County, KY?
Morgan County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 22th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Morgan County?
Morgan County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (71th percentile), flooding (46th percentile), hurricane (37th percentile), earthquake (37th percentile), tornado (30th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 71th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Morgan County risk compare to the Kentucky average?
Morgan County's composite risk percentile is 22th, compared to the Kentucky state average of 44th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Morgan County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Kentucky.
Is Morgan County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Morgan County's wildfire risk is at the 71th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Morgan County is at the 46th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Morgan County a safe place to live?
Morgan County's composite risk score of 22th percentile is below the Kentucky state average of 44th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 71th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.