riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Madison County Disaster Risk

Madison County, Kentucky

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

75th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#15

of 120 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

76th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 76% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 52% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 85% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 77% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 51% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Madison County, Kentucky

Madison ranks above average for disaster risk

With a composite risk score of 74.84, Madison County faces relatively low overall natural disaster risk—but it's notably higher than the U.S. average of 50.19. Tornadoes pose the county's most acute threat, with a risk score of 85.31, making severe weather preparedness essential for residents.

Madison is riskier than most Kentucky counties

Madison's composite score of 74.84 places it well above Kentucky's state average of 44.21, ranking it among the higher-risk counties statewide. This elevated profile is driven primarily by tornado vulnerability, where the county significantly outpaces state norms.

Madison faces steeper risks than nearby Marion County

Neighboring Marion County scores just 30.22, making Madison roughly 2.5 times riskier overall. However, Madison's tornado risk of 85.31 is notably more severe than Marion's 61.90, reflecting the county's unique exposure to severe convective storms.

Tornadoes and earthquakes demand attention here

Tornadoes (85.31) and earthquakes (76.84) are Madison's two leading hazards, with tornado risk significantly outpacing the state average. Flooding also registers at 75.99, making spring and early summer particularly dangerous for residents in low-lying areas.

Secure comprehensive coverage now

Standard homeowners insurance doesn't cover tornado or flood damage—you'll need separate flood insurance and a reinforced safe room or tornado shelter for protection. Given Madison's 85.31 tornado risk, storm-ready upgrades like reinforced foundations and impact-resistant windows are wise investments before severe weather season.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Madison County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    85th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    77th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    76th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Madison County

Risk Verdict

Madison County's FEMA risk score places it at the 75th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. A moderate composite score often means one or two hazard categories are doing the heavy lifting — knowing which ones matters for preparation.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Madison County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 85th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 77th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (76th percentile), wildfire (52th percentile), hurricane (51th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Tornado exposure at the 85th percentile nationally makes Madison County a county where a battery-powered weather radio — not just smartphone apps — is a worthwhile household investment, given that mobile networks often fail during severe storms. Alongside tornado exposure, earthquake at the 77th percentile nationally means Madison County households face multi-hazard severe-weather seasons that benefit from a single integrated emergency plan covering both threats. In Madison County, tornado watches indicate favorable atmospheric conditions while warnings mean rotation has been detected — households benefit from understanding this distinction so they shelter immediately on a warning, not after seeking visual confirmation.

Regional Context

The Kentucky county average is 30.6 composite points below Madison County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Madison County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Madison County, KY?
Madison County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 75th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Madison County?
Madison County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (85th percentile), earthquake (77th percentile), flooding (76th percentile), wildfire (52th percentile), hurricane (51th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 85th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Madison County risk compare to the Kentucky average?
Madison County's composite risk percentile is 75th, compared to the Kentucky state average of 44th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Madison County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Kentucky.
Is Madison County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Madison County's tornado risk is at the 85th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Madison County is at the 76th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Madison County higher risk than average?
Madison County's composite risk score of 75th percentile is above the Kentucky state average of 44th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (85th percentile), along with earthquake and flooding and wildfire and hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.