riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Mackinac County Disaster Risk

Mackinac County, Michigan

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

9th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#79

of 83 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

37th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 37% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 48% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 9% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 6% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 15% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Mackinac County, Michigan

Mackinac County's risk stays well below national average

With a composite risk score of 9.10 and a "Very Low" rating, Mackinac County ranks among the safest counties in the nation for natural disasters. This score is dramatically lower than the national median, putting residents in a significantly protected position compared to most American counties.

One of Michigan's safest counties

Mackinac County's 9.10 score places it far below Michigan's state average of 49.56, making it one of the lowest-risk counties in the state. Among Michigan's 83 counties, Mackinac ranks exceptionally well for natural disaster preparedness.

Safest in a relatively low-risk region

Mackinac County's risk profile outpaces nearby Emmet and Cheboygan counties across multiple hazard types. While neighboring Manistee County (37.21) offers some comparison, Mackinac remains the clear standout for protection.

Wildfire and flood pose modest concerns

Wildfire risk (47.61) and flood risk (36.80) represent Mackinac's highest hazard exposures, though both remain well-controlled. Tornado risk (9.32) and earthquake risk (6.14) are minimal threats in this county.

Basic homeowners coverage remains prudent

Even in very low-risk Mackinac County, standard homeowners insurance with flood coverage protection is wise, particularly for properties near water. Given the county's overall safety profile, focus on maintaining basic emergency supplies and keeping insurance policies current.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Mackinac County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    48th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    37th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    15th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Mackinac County

Risk Verdict

Mackinac County sits in the lower tier of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure, ranked at the 9th percentile nationally. At the 9th percentile, Mackinac County's risk profile is among the more manageable in the country — the hazard-specific breakdown above shows where any remaining preparedness focus is best directed.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Mackinac County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 48th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 37th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (15th percentile), tornado (9th percentile), earthquake (6th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 48th percentile nationally for wildfire risk, Mackinac County households benefit from creating defensible space — a buffer of reduced vegetation around structures — and reviewing whether homeowners insurance covers wildfire damage in this region. Alongside wildfire, flood at the 37th percentile nationally means a multi-season preparedness mindset — fire season and flood or storm season often require different household plans. Enrolling in the county's wireless emergency alert system and keeping a vehicle at least half-full during peak fire season are low-cost habits that dramatically reduce evacuation lag time for Mackinac County residents.

Regional Context

Mackinac County falls 40.5 points below Michigan's typical county risk level, making it one of the safer natural-hazard environments in the state.

Is your household prepared for Mackinac County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Mackinac County, MI?
Mackinac County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 9th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Mackinac County?
Mackinac County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (48th percentile), flooding (37th percentile), hurricane (15th percentile), tornado (9th percentile), earthquake (6th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 48th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Mackinac County risk compare to the Michigan average?
Mackinac County's composite risk percentile is 9th, compared to the Michigan state average of 50th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Mackinac County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Michigan.
Is Mackinac County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Mackinac County's wildfire risk is at the 48th percentile nationally. This is below the national median, indicating relatively lower exposure. For flooding specifically, Mackinac County is at the 37th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Mackinac County a safe place to live?
Mackinac County's composite risk score of 9th percentile is below the Michigan state average of 50th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 48th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.