riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Aitkin County Disaster Risk

Aitkin County, Minnesota

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

57th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#25

of 87 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

69th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 69% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 58% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 24% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 2% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Aitkin County, Minnesota

Aitkin's Risk: Above Average Nationally

Aitkin County scores 56.58 on the national composite risk scale, placing it in the Relatively Low category but notably above Minnesota's state average of 42.38. This means residents face more natural disaster exposure than most counties in the state, driven primarily by elevated flood and wildfire hazards.

Ranking Among Minnesota Counties

Among Minnesota's 87 counties, Aitkin ranks in the upper-middle tier for disaster risk, with a score that exceeds two-thirds of the state's counties. The county's 56.58 composite score reflects above-average vulnerability compared to its peers statewide.

Aitkin vs. Neighboring Counties

Aitkin (56.58) faces notably higher risk than nearby Big Stone County (8.52), one of Minnesota's safest counties, but sits below the higher-risk profile of Anoka County (88.01). Among its direct neighbors, Aitkin's exposure puts it in the middle range of regional disaster vulnerability.

Flood and Wildfire Top Concerns

Aitkin County's greatest hazards are flooding (69.37 risk score) and wildfire exposure (57.60), both significantly higher than the state average. Tornado risk is lower at 23.89, meaning residents should prioritize preparedness for water-related emergencies and seasonal fire season threats.

Ensure Comprehensive Coverage Today

With elevated flood and wildfire risks, Aitkin County residents should verify they have both standard homeowners insurance and separate flood coverage—standard policies don't cover flood damage. Consider wildfire-specific endorsements if your property is near forested areas, and review your policy annually as risks evolve.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Aitkin County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    69th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    58th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    24th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Aitkin County

Risk Verdict

Aitkin County ranks at the 57th percentile nationally for natural disaster risk — below the median for U.S. counties. Residents are encouraged to understand which hazards dominate locally and tailor their preparedness accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Aitkin County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 69th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 58th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (24th percentile), earthquake (2th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Aitkin County sits at the 69th percentile nationally for flood exposure. Knowing your property's flood zone designation — available at FEMA's Flood Map Service Center — is the first step toward understanding actual exposure and insurance options. The county's second-ranked hazard, wildfire at the 58th percentile nationally, means Aitkin County residents face compounding risks from multiple natural hazard types during peak seasons. Regardless of specific hazard, Aitkin County households benefit from a practiced communication plan: a designated out-of-state contact and a pre-agreed evacuation destination established before the season's peak risk period.

Regional Context

Compared to other Minnesota counties, Aitkin County runs 14.2 composite risk points higher than the state mean — reflecting above-average hazard concentration in this area.

Is your household prepared for Aitkin County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Aitkin County, MN?
Aitkin County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 57th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Aitkin County?
Aitkin County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (69th percentile), wildfire (58th percentile), tornado (24th percentile), earthquake (2th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 69th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Aitkin County risk compare to the Minnesota average?
Aitkin County's composite risk percentile is 57th, compared to the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Aitkin County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Minnesota.
Is Aitkin County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Aitkin County's flooding risk is at the 69th percentile nationally. This is above the national median.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Aitkin County higher risk than average?
Aitkin County's composite risk score of 57th percentile is above the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (69th percentile), along with wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.