riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Carver County Disaster Risk

Carver County, Minnesota

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

60th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#24

of 87 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

60th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 60% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 39% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 79% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 9% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Carver County, Minnesota

Carver's risk profile is moderate nationally

Carver County scores 59.67 with a "Relatively Low" rating, placing it slightly above the national average and indicating above-average exposure to natural hazards. The county's risk landscape is shaped primarily by tornado and flood threats rather than rarer events.

Carver ranks higher than most Minnesota counties

Carver County's composite score of 59.67 exceeds Minnesota's state average of 42.38 by a significant margin, reflecting greater-than-typical disaster exposure for the state. This positions Carver among Minnesota's counties with elevated natural hazard vulnerability.

Carver faces more tornado risk than neighbors

While Carver's overall score of 59.67 is moderate, its tornado risk of 79.48 substantially exceeds neighboring Clay County (62.02) and Chisago County (64.15). This spike makes tornadoes the defining hazard for Carver residents.

Tornadoes pose Carver's primary threat

Carver County's tornado risk score of 79.48 is the dominant hazard, requiring serious preparedness from all residents and businesses. Flood risk (60.37) ranks second, while wildfire risk (39.34) remains relatively modest compared to state peers.

Tornado and flood coverage protects Carver homes

Carver residents should ensure homeowners insurance includes tornado coverage and consider separate flood insurance given the 60.37 flood risk score. A tornado safe room or shelter and a regularly updated emergency plan are critical for Carver families.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Carver County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    79th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    60th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    39th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Carver County

Risk Verdict

Carver County sits below the national average for natural disaster exposure, ranking at the 60th percentile across all U.S. counties. Understanding the specific hazards behind Carver County's ranking helps residents prioritize where to direct emergency planning efforts.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Carver County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 79th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 60th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (39th percentile), earthquake (9th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Ranked at the 79th percentile nationally for tornado risk, Carver County is in a zone where storm shelters have the highest per-dollar protective value of any mitigation investment. Carver County's county shelter map is typically available through the local emergency management office. Alongside tornado exposure, flood at the 60th percentile nationally means Carver County households face multi-hazard severe-weather seasons that benefit from a single integrated emergency plan covering both threats. Carver County residents can check the county's emergency management website for community shelter locations nearest their address — a step worth completing now, not during a warning.

Regional Context

A composite score 17.3 points above the Minnesota state average puts Carver County in a higher-risk category than most counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Carver County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Carver County, MN?
Carver County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 60th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Carver County?
Carver County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (79th percentile), flooding (60th percentile), wildfire (39th percentile), earthquake (9th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 79th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Carver County risk compare to the Minnesota average?
Carver County's composite risk percentile is 60th, compared to the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Carver County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Minnesota.
Is Carver County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Carver County's tornado risk is at the 79th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Carver County is at the 60th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Carver County higher risk than average?
Carver County's composite risk score of 60th percentile is above the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (79th percentile), along with flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.