riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Hennepin County Disaster Risk

Hennepin County, Minnesota

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively High

National Percentile

98th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#1

of 87 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

98th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 75% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very High

Higher than 100% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 50% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Hennepin County, Minnesota

Hennepin faces significantly above-average risk nationally

With a composite risk score of 98.31, Hennepin County ranks as relatively high risk—more than twice the national average—placing it among the most exposed counties in America. This reflects Minneapolis's dense urban footprint and concentrated vulnerability to multiple hazard types.

Minnesota's highest-risk county by far

Hennepin's 98.31 score dwarfs Minnesota's state average of 42.38 and towers above every other county in the state. This makes Hennepin's residents far more exposed to natural disasters than their counterparts across Minnesota.

Urban risk concentration unmatched in region

Hennepin's 98.31 is roughly double nearby Itasca County (76.72) and more than 50 times higher than Grant County (2.99). This stark difference reflects Hennepin's dense urban development versus the rural character of neighboring areas.

Tornadoes, floods, and wildfire exposure severe

Tornado risk reaches 99.62—nearly maximal—while flooding (98.03) and wildfire (74.87) also pose serious threats across Hennepin County. Urban density and proximity to the Mississippi River create compounding hazards that require comprehensive preparation.

Comprehensive coverage is essential and urgent

Hennepin residents must secure robust homeowners insurance with tornado, hail, and windstorm coverage immediately, then evaluate flood insurance needs through FEMA maps and your lender. Consider reinforcing safe rooms, installing storm shutters, and maintaining hazard insurance that reflects your home's true replacement value given serious exposure.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Hennepin County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    100th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    98th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    75th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Hennepin County

Risk Verdict

With a national rank of 98th percentile, Hennepin County faces above-average natural disaster pressure across several hazard categories. High composite risk signals that multiple hazard types are elevated simultaneously; planning for more than one scenario is important in Hennepin County.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Hennepin County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 100th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 98th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (75th percentile), earthquake (50th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Hennepin County's primary hazard, tornado, ranks at the 100th percentile nationally. In Hennepin County, mobile homes and manufactured housing face significantly higher tornado risk than site-built structures; residents in these homes should identify the nearest permanent community shelter in advance. Flood is the second hazard driver for Hennepin County at the 98th percentile nationally, meaning households should maintain awareness of both severe-weather and flood-specific warning systems. The highest-risk window for tornado fatalities is overnight, when Hennepin County residents may be asleep. A NOAA weather radio with overnight alert capability is the single most impactful low-cost preparedness step available to Hennepin County households.

Regional Context

Hennepin County falls 55.9 points above Minnesota's typical county risk level, which means the hazard environment here is notably more demanding than the state baseline.

Is your household prepared for Hennepin County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Hennepin County, MN?
Hennepin County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High, placing it in the 98th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Hennepin County?
Hennepin County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (100th percentile), flooding (98th percentile), wildfire (75th percentile), earthquake (50th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 100th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Hennepin County risk compare to the Minnesota average?
Hennepin County's composite risk percentile is 98th, compared to the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Hennepin County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Minnesota.
Is Hennepin County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Hennepin County's tornado risk is at the 100th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Hennepin County is at the 98th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Hennepin County higher risk than average?
Hennepin County's composite risk score of 98th percentile is above the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (100th percentile), along with flooding and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.