riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Lincoln County Disaster Risk

Lincoln County, Minnesota

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

18th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#71

of 87 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

29th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 29% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 32% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 28% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 6% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Lincoln County, Minnesota

Lincoln County faces very low national risk

With a composite risk score of 18.19, Lincoln County sits well below the national average and ranks in the very low category for natural disaster exposure. This means residents face fewer threats from major hazards compared to most U.S. counties.

Among Minnesota's safest counties

Lincoln County's score of 18.19 is less than half the state average of 42.38, placing it among the lowest-risk counties in Minnesota. This favorable standing reflects relatively mild exposure across most natural hazard types.

Safer than surrounding counties

Lincoln County's risk profile stands out favorably compared to nearby Marshall County (23.57) and Meeker County (26.97). The difference of roughly 5 to 8 points reflects lower tornado and flood risks in this area.

Wildfire and flood remain top threats

While overall risk is very low, wildfire risk (32.19) and flood risk (28.88) represent the county's most significant hazard exposures. Tornado risk (28.44) rounds out the top three, though all three remain below state averages.

Even low-risk counties need coverage

Lincoln County residents should maintain homeowners insurance that covers wind and flood damage, particularly those in low-lying areas near water. Reviewing coverage annually ensures protection against the hazards most likely to affect the county.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Lincoln County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    32th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    29th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    28th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Lincoln County

Risk Verdict

Lincoln County carries a low natural disaster risk burden, scoring at the 18th percentile under the FEMA National Risk Index. Lincoln County residents can take confidence from a 18th percentile ranking, but even lower-risk counties benefit from a practiced household communication plan and awareness of the specific hazards listed above.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Lincoln County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 32th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 29th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (28th percentile), earthquake (6th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire ranks as Lincoln County's primary hazard at the 32th percentile nationally. For Lincoln County households in high-WUI areas, go-bag readiness — the ability to leave within 15 minutes — is more important than shelter-in-place planning for most residential properties. Alongside wildfire, flood at the 29th percentile nationally means a multi-season preparedness mindset — fire season and flood or storm season often require different household plans. Lincoln County county's local emergency management office publishes community-specific wildfire risk assessments and evacuation zone maps; households should review their zone assignment and sign up for zone-specific alerts.

Regional Context

Compared to the Minnesota county average, Lincoln County's composite score runs 24.2 points lower — a gap that reflects the county's relatively modest hazard profile within its state context.

Is your household prepared for Lincoln County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Lincoln County, MN?
Lincoln County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 18th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Lincoln County?
Lincoln County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (32th percentile), flooding (29th percentile), tornado (28th percentile), earthquake (6th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 32th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Lincoln County risk compare to the Minnesota average?
Lincoln County's composite risk percentile is 18th, compared to the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Lincoln County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Minnesota.
Is Lincoln County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Lincoln County's wildfire risk is at the 32th percentile nationally. This is below the national median, indicating relatively lower exposure. For flooding specifically, Lincoln County is at the 29th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Lincoln County a safe place to live?
Lincoln County's composite risk score of 18th percentile is below the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 32th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.