riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Olmsted County Disaster Risk

Olmsted County, Minnesota

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

82th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#8

of 87 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

87th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 87% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 20% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 89% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 16% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 0% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Olmsted County, Minnesota

Olmsted faces high national risk

Olmsted County's composite risk score of 82.35 earns a "Relatively Moderate" rating and significantly exceeds the national average. Tornado risk of 89.28 and flood risk of 86.86 make this southeastern Minnesota county one of the state's most hazard-exposed regions.

Highest-risk county in Minnesota

At 82.35, Olmsted County ranks as the highest or near-highest risk county statewide, nearly doubling Minnesota's average of 42.38. The county faces exceptional exposure across multiple major hazard categories.

Significantly riskier than surrounding counties

Olmsted County's risk profile far exceeds neighboring Dodge, Wabasha, and Winona counties. Its tornado score of 89.28 and flood score of 86.86 are among the highest in the state, distinguishing it as a regional hazard hotspot.

Tornadoes and flooding are critical threats

Olmsted County residents face exceptional tornado risk at 89.28 and flood risk at 86.86—both among the highest in Minnesota. Combined, these hazards pose the county's primary natural disaster challenge, requiring comprehensive preparedness and protection measures.

Robust flood and storm coverage vital

Olmsted County residents must prioritize flood insurance separate from homeowners policies, given the 86.86 flood risk score. Invest in a home storm shelter or safe room, maintain a comprehensive emergency kit, and review all insurance annually for adequate coverage.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Olmsted County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    89th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    87th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    20th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Olmsted County

Risk Verdict

Olmsted County registers a moderately elevated natural disaster risk, ranking at the 82th percentile across all U.S. counties. High composite risk signals that multiple hazard types are elevated simultaneously; planning for more than one scenario is important in Olmsted County.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Olmsted County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 89th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 87th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (20th percentile), earthquake (16th percentile), hurricane (0th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Olmsted County's primary hazard, tornado, ranks at the 89th percentile nationally. In Olmsted County, mobile homes and manufactured housing face significantly higher tornado risk than site-built structures; residents in these homes should identify the nearest permanent community shelter in advance. Alongside tornado exposure, flood at the 87th percentile nationally means Olmsted County households face multi-hazard severe-weather seasons that benefit from a single integrated emergency plan covering both threats. The highest-risk window for tornado fatalities is overnight, when Olmsted County residents may be asleep. A NOAA weather radio with overnight alert capability is the single most impactful low-cost preparedness step available to Olmsted County households.

Regional Context

Olmsted County falls 40.0 points above Minnesota's typical county risk level, which means the hazard environment here is notably more demanding than the state baseline.

Is your household prepared for Olmsted County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Olmsted County, MN?
Olmsted County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 82th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Olmsted County?
Olmsted County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (89th percentile), flooding (87th percentile), wildfire (20th percentile), earthquake (16th percentile), hurricane (0th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 89th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Olmsted County risk compare to the Minnesota average?
Olmsted County's composite risk percentile is 82th, compared to the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Olmsted County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Minnesota.
Is Olmsted County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Olmsted County's tornado risk is at the 89th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Olmsted County is at the 87th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Olmsted County higher risk than average?
Olmsted County's composite risk score of 82th percentile is above the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (89th percentile), along with flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.