riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Washington County Disaster Risk

Washington County, Minnesota

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

84th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#7

of 87 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

83th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 83% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 64% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively High

Higher than 94% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 13% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Washington County, Minnesota

Washington faces nearly double-average risk

Washington County scores 83.87 with a Relatively Moderate rating, nearly doubling the national average for disaster exposure. This urban-adjacent county in the Twin Cities metro experiences higher hazard concentration than most U.S. communities.

Highest-risk county in Minnesota

Washington's 83.87 composite score nearly doubles Minnesota's 42.38 state average, making it by far the riskiest county statewide. The county's metro location and geography compound exposure across multiple threat types.

Washington's risks far exceed peers

Washington County (83.87) dwarfs neighboring Watonwan (23.89) and Waseca (24.68) counties. Only Wright County (68.42) comes close, though Washington remains substantially more exposed to overlapping hazards.

Tornado, flood, and wildfire compound

Tornado risk (94.37) leads statewide, while flood risk (83.49) and wildfire risk (64.03) each rank among Minnesota's highest. The convergence of these three threats creates outsized vulnerability for residents and infrastructure.

Comprehensive coverage is essential

Washington County residents should secure robust homeowners insurance covering wind, hail, and flood damage—and strongly consider separate flood insurance given the 83.49 flood risk score. Wildfire exposure warrants defensible space maintenance around your property.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Washington County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    94th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    83th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    64th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Washington County

Risk Verdict

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Washington County at the 84th percentile nationally — above average and worth proactive preparation. Residents should prioritize a formal household emergency plan, including evacuation routes, insurance review, and a well-stocked emergency kit.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Washington County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 94th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 83th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (64th percentile), earthquake (13th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With tornado ranked at the 94th percentile nationally, Washington County sits in a high-exposure zone where the difference between outcomes often comes down to proximity to a reinforced interior shelter and seconds of warning time. Alongside tornado exposure, flood at the 83th percentile nationally means Washington County households face multi-hazard severe-weather seasons that benefit from a single integrated emergency plan covering both threats. For Washington County households, safe rooms certified to FEMA 320/361 standards offer the highest protection during a direct tornado hit; households without a safe room should locate the innermost lowest-floor room in their building and practice the route to it before storm season.

Regional Context

Washington County is 41.5 composite risk points above the Minnesota average, indicating that residents face greater natural hazard exposure than most of their in-state neighbors.

Is your household prepared for Washington County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Washington County, MN?
Washington County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 84th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Washington County?
Washington County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (94th percentile), flooding (83th percentile), wildfire (64th percentile), earthquake (13th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 94th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Washington County risk compare to the Minnesota average?
Washington County's composite risk percentile is 84th, compared to the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Washington County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Minnesota.
Is Washington County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Washington County's tornado risk is at the 94th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Washington County is at the 83th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Washington County higher risk than average?
Washington County's composite risk score of 84th percentile is above the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (94th percentile), along with flooding and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.