riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Pennington County Disaster Risk

Pennington County, Minnesota

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

47th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#34

of 87 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

68th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 68% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 82% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 26% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 3% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Pennington County, Minnesota

Pennington's risk sits slightly above U.S. average

Pennington County scores 46.98 on the composite risk scale, placing it modestly above the national average. This "Relatively Low" rating reflects a mixed hazard profile—some risks exceed national norms while others remain manageable. Understanding which threats matter most locally helps you prepare more effectively.

Mid-range risk ranking within Minnesota

Pennington County's composite score of 46.98 slightly exceeds Minnesota's average of 42.38, ranking it toward the middle of the state's 87 counties. While not among Minnesota's safest or most at-risk counties, the profile warrants focused preparation for specific hazards. Regional neighbors show notably different risk patterns worth comparing.

Northwestern peers face varied hazard exposure

Pennington County's risk level (46.98) falls between Polk County to the west at 67.05 and Pope County to the south at 20.55, reflecting Pennington's middle position in the northwest region. Pennington faces higher wildfire exposure (82.25) than Pope County (36.51), while tornado risk (26.40) remains well below Minnesota's most vulnerable counties. This clustering shows how geography shapes distinct disaster patterns across neighboring areas.

Wildfire and flood dominate Pennington's hazard mix

Wildfire risk reaches 82.25 in Pennington County—among the state's highest—driven by forest coverage and seasonal dryness that make spring and fall particularly dangerous. Flood risk scores 67.81, reflecting seasonal river dynamics and spring snowmelt that periodically threaten communities and infrastructure across the county. Tornado risk is comparatively low at 26.40, well below the state median.

Prepare for fire and water in Pennington County

Standard homeowners insurance rarely covers wildfire or flood damage, making separate coverage essential—obtain a wildfire rider and file a National Flood Insurance Program policy if you're in a mapped flood zone. Create defensible space around structures by clearing vegetation and gutters, and maintain a property evacuation plan given the county's elevated wildfire threat. Review your coverage annually and after any hazard event to ensure protection keeps pace with property value.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Pennington County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    82th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    68th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    26th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Pennington County

Risk Verdict

Pennington County ranks at the 47th percentile nationally for natural disaster risk — below the median for U.S. counties. Even at the 47th percentile, Pennington County's composite score reflects real hazard exposure categories — knowing which ones apply locally enables targeted, efficient household preparedness.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Pennington County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 82th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 68th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (26th percentile), earthquake (3th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Pennington County's dominant hazard is wildfire, ranked at the 82th percentile nationally. Maintaining at least 30 feet of lean, clean vegetation around structures in Pennington County and keeping gutters clear of debris significantly reduces ignition risk from wind-driven embers. A secondary flood exposure at the 68th percentile nationally means Pennington County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. Pennington County's households benefit from reviewing homeowners insurance before fire season, specifically whether the policy covers replacement cost rather than actual cash value, and whether it includes additional living expenses if displacement is required.

Regional Context

The county's composite score diverges by only 4.6 points from the Minnesota average, making Pennington County's hazard profile broadly typical for this part of the state.

Is your household prepared for Pennington County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Pennington County, MN?
Pennington County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 47th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Pennington County?
Pennington County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (82th percentile), flooding (68th percentile), tornado (26th percentile), earthquake (3th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 82th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Pennington County risk compare to the Minnesota average?
Pennington County's composite risk percentile is 47th, compared to the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Pennington County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Minnesota.
Is Pennington County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Pennington County's wildfire risk is at the 82th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Pennington County is at the 68th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Pennington County higher risk than average?
Pennington County's composite risk score of 47th percentile is above the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (82th percentile), along with flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.