riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

McDonald County Disaster Risk

McDonald County, Missouri

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

64th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#38

of 115 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

74th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 74% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 73% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 73% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 39% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 32% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in McDonald County, Missouri

McDonald County faces above-average risk

With a composite risk score of 63.99, McDonald County ranks as relatively low but significantly above the national average for disaster risk. The county's profile reflects material exposure to flooding, tornadoes, and wildfires that warrant active preparedness.

Higher risk than most Missouri counties

McDonald County's score of 63.99 substantially exceeds Missouri's state average of 50.56, placing it in the upper tier of the state's 115 counties. The county faces more comprehensive hazard exposure than most of its peers statewide.

Riskiest in its immediate region

At 63.99, McDonald County far exceeds the risk profiles of nearby Maries County (20.83), Marion County (47.87), and Macon County (36.77). It ranks second only to Lincoln County (67.08) among this cluster of counties.

Triple threat: floods, tornadoes, wildfires

Flood risk at 73.73, tornado risk at 73.35, and wildfire risk at 72.81 create a formidable trio of hazards in McDonald County. These three hazards each exceed state averages and require comprehensive local preparedness strategies.

Multi-hazard insurance essential

McDonald County residents must secure flood insurance, maintain comprehensive homeowners coverage for tornado and wind damage, and understand wildfire mitigation strategies. Work with local emergency management to ensure your property is protected from all three primary threats.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in McDonald County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    74th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    73th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    73th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: McDonald County

Risk Verdict

McDonald County sits below the national average for natural disaster exposure, ranking at the 64th percentile across all U.S. counties. Understanding the specific hazards behind McDonald County's ranking helps residents prioritize where to direct emergency planning efforts.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is McDonald County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 74th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 73th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (73th percentile), earthquake (39th percentile), hurricane (32th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With flood ranked as the primary hazard at the 74th percentile nationally, McDonald County households should build a go-bag that includes important documents, medications, and supplies to sustain the family for at least three days if evacuation is needed. The county's second-ranked hazard, tornado at the 73th percentile nationally, means McDonald County residents face compounding risks from multiple natural hazard types during peak seasons. A waterproof container for documents (insurance policies, ID, prescriptions) and a clear household communication plan for when phone networks are congested are the two highest-value low-cost preparedness steps for McDonald County households.

Regional Context

A composite score 13.4 points above the Missouri state average puts McDonald County in a higher-risk category than most counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for McDonald County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in McDonald County, MO?
McDonald County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 64th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect McDonald County?
McDonald County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (74th percentile), tornado (73th percentile), wildfire (73th percentile), earthquake (39th percentile), hurricane (32th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 74th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does McDonald County risk compare to the Missouri average?
McDonald County's composite risk percentile is 64th, compared to the Missouri state average of 51th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means McDonald County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Missouri.
Is McDonald County at risk for flooding?
Yes, McDonald County's flooding risk is at the 74th percentile nationally. This is above the national median.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is McDonald County higher risk than average?
McDonald County's composite risk score of 64th percentile is above the Missouri state average of 51th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (74th percentile), along with tornado and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.