riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Carbon County Disaster Risk

Carbon County, Montana

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

60th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#12

of 56 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

72th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 72% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 93% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 17% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 54% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Carbon County, Montana

Carbon County faces elevated multi-hazard risk nationally

Carbon County scores 59.80 on the composite risk index, placing it well above the national average and in the upper tier of U.S. counties by disaster exposure. This rating reflects high wildfire risk (93.32), significant flood risk (72.26), and moderate earthquake exposure.

Among Montana's highest-risk counties

Carbon County ranks in the top tier of Montana's 56 counties with a composite score of 59.80, nearly double the state average of 33.31. Only a handful of Montana counties face comparable multi-hazard exposure.

Most fire-prone county in the region

Carbon County's wildfire risk (93.32) is among the highest in the state, matching Big Horn (94.85) and substantially exceeding all neighboring counties. Its flood risk (72.26) also significantly exceeds nearby Beaverhead (36.32) and Broadwater (19.08), reflecting the county's complex mountain-valley terrain.

Wildfires and floods are critical threats

Carbon County residents face exceptional wildfire risk (93.32) and significant flood risk (72.26), creating a dual-threat environment unlike most of Montana. Tornado risk (17.08) is moderate, and earthquake risk (53.59) is substantial but not the county's dominant concern.

Wildfire and flood insurance are essential

Carbon County's extreme wildfire and flood exposure make these coverage types non-negotiable; standard homeowners policies exclude both. Work immediately with an insurance agent to secure wildfire coverage, verify flood insurance adequacy, and create defensible space around your home—these steps are critical to your family's financial security.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Carbon County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    93th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    72th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    54th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Carbon County

Risk Verdict

Carbon County has a below-average natural disaster risk profile, scoring at the 60th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Households in Carbon County benefit from knowing which individual hazard types — flood, wildfire, tornado, or hurricane — are the primary contributors.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Carbon County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 93th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 72th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (54th percentile), tornado (17th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire is Carbon County's top-ranked natural hazard at the 93th percentile nationally. Carbon County residents should assess whether their property lies within or adjacent to a Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) zone, where ember transport and rapid spread pose the highest risk. Alongside wildfire, flood at the 72th percentile nationally means a multi-season preparedness mindset — fire season and flood or storm season often require different household plans. For Carbon County households, a practiced evacuation plan — with a primary and backup route designated before a fire occurs — provides more protection than any structural improvement when a wildfire approaches fast-moving terrain.

Regional Context

Carbon County's composite risk score sits 26.5 points above the Montana county average, placing it among the more hazard-exposed counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Carbon County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Carbon County, MT?
Carbon County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 60th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Carbon County?
Carbon County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (93th percentile), flooding (72th percentile), earthquake (54th percentile), tornado (17th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 93th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Carbon County risk compare to the Montana average?
Carbon County's composite risk percentile is 60th, compared to the Montana state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Carbon County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Montana.
Is Carbon County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Carbon County's wildfire risk is at the 93th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Carbon County is at the 72th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Carbon County higher risk than average?
Carbon County's composite risk score of 60th percentile is above the Montana state average of 33th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (93th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.