riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Missoula County Disaster Risk

Missoula County, Montana

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

77th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#6

of 56 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

69th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 69% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 96% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 10% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 91% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Missoula County, Montana

Missoula County faces elevated disaster risk

Missoula County's composite risk score of 77.04 ranks it as relatively low nationally but substantially above average for natural hazard exposure. The score reflects significant vulnerabilities across multiple hazard types, particularly wildfire and earthquake.

Among Montana's highest-risk counties

At 77.04, Missoula County dramatically exceeds Montana's state average of 33.31, placing it among the state's most hazard-exposed areas. Only Lewis and Clark County approaches Missoula's elevated composite risk score.

Riskiest county in its region

Missoula County's score of 77.04 substantially exceeds neighboring Lincoln (64.28), Madison (41.03), Mineral (7.35), and all other regional peers. The county bears the highest disaster risk exposure in western Montana.

Wildfire and earthquake drive risk profile

Wildfire risk reaches 95.77 in Missoula County—among Montana's highest—while earthquake risk at 91.35 reflects the county's location in a seismically active region. Flood risk at 68.64 adds meaningful exposure, particularly for riverside properties and development zones.

Comprehensive coverage is critical

Missoula County residents must ensure wildfire damage is explicitly covered in their homeowners policy given the 95.77 risk score, as many standard policies exclude it. Adding earthquake coverage is equally essential given the 91.35 score; review flood risk for your specific property location and consider additional protection if needed.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Missoula County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    96th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    91th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    69th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Missoula County

Risk Verdict

At the 77th percentile nationally, Missoula County experiences a manageable level of natural hazard risk that falls below the U.S. median. High composite risk signals that multiple hazard types are elevated simultaneously; planning for more than one scenario is important in Missoula County.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Missoula County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 96th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 91th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (69th percentile), tornado (10th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire ranks as Missoula County's primary hazard at the 96th percentile nationally. For Missoula County households in high-WUI areas, go-bag readiness — the ability to leave within 15 minutes — is more important than shelter-in-place planning for most residential properties. Alongside wildfire, earthquake at the 91th percentile nationally means a multi-season preparedness mindset — fire season and flood or storm season often require different household plans. Missoula County county's local emergency management office publishes community-specific wildfire risk assessments and evacuation zone maps; households should review their zone assignment and sign up for zone-specific alerts.

Regional Context

Missoula County falls 43.7 points above Montana's typical county risk level, which means the hazard environment here is notably more demanding than the state baseline.

Is your household prepared for Missoula County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Missoula County, MT?
Missoula County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 77th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Missoula County?
Missoula County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (96th percentile), earthquake (91th percentile), flooding (69th percentile), tornado (10th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 96th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Missoula County risk compare to the Montana average?
Missoula County's composite risk percentile is 77th, compared to the Montana state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Missoula County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Montana.
Is Missoula County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Missoula County's wildfire risk is at the 96th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Missoula County is at the 69th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Missoula County higher risk than average?
Missoula County's composite risk score of 77th percentile is above the Montana state average of 33th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (96th percentile), along with earthquake and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.