riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Grafton County Disaster Risk

Grafton County, New Hampshire

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

82th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#3

of 10 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

90th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 90% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 31% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 24% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 70% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 78% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Grafton County, New Hampshire

Grafton County Exceeds National Risk

Grafton County's composite risk score of 81.77 significantly exceeds the national average of 69.89, placing it in the "Relatively Moderate" category. This mountain county faces notably higher natural disaster exposure than most American counties.

Highest-Risk County in New Hampshire

Grafton County ranks third-riskiest among New Hampshire's eight counties with a composite score of 81.77, substantially above the state average of 69.89. Only Hillsborough and Rockingham counties exceed Grafton's overall disaster risk.

Significantly Riskier Than Coos County

Grafton's 81.77 score towers over neighboring Coos County (72.77) and Belknap County (57.38) across the state. Its exceptional flood risk of 90.08 and elevated earthquake risk of 69.62 set it apart among northern counties.

Floods and Earthquakes Are Major Threats

Grafton County leads the state in flood risk at 90.08, driven by its mountainous terrain and major river systems including the Connecticut River. Earthquake risk of 69.62 reflects the county's proximity to tectonic activity, while wildfire and tornado risks remain moderate.

Essential: Flood and Earthquake Coverage

Grafton County residents must secure comprehensive flood insurance and earthquake coverage given flood risk of 90.08 and earthquake risk of 69.62—among the state's highest. Standard homeowners policies exclude both hazards, making separate policies critical.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Grafton County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    90th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    78th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    70th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Grafton County

Risk Verdict

At the 82th percentile nationally, Grafton County sits in the upper half of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure. At this risk level, having a documented household preparedness plan — not just awareness — is the meaningful next step for Grafton County residents.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Grafton County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 90th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 78th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (70th percentile), wildfire (31th percentile), tornado (24th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 90th percentile nationally for flood risk, Grafton County residents benefit from understanding their specific flood zone status. Even one inch of floodwater causes significant structural damage to properties outside officially designated high-risk zones. Alongside flooding, hurricane exposure at the 78th percentile means households benefit from a multi-hazard preparedness plan rather than focusing on flood alone. A tested family preparedness plan specific to Grafton County's primary hazards — including how to shelter in place or evacuate, and who to call — provides more real protection than a general emergency kit sitting unused on a shelf.

Regional Context

The New Hampshire county average is 11.9 composite points below Grafton County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Grafton County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Grafton County, NH?
Grafton County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 82th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Grafton County?
Grafton County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (90th percentile), hurricane (78th percentile), earthquake (70th percentile), wildfire (31th percentile), tornado (24th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 90th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Grafton County risk compare to the New Hampshire average?
Grafton County's composite risk percentile is 82th, compared to the New Hampshire state average of 70th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Grafton County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in New Hampshire.
Is Grafton County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Grafton County's flooding risk is at the 90th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Grafton County higher risk than average?
Grafton County's composite risk score of 82th percentile is above the New Hampshire state average of 70th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (90th percentile), along with hurricane and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.