riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Catron County Disaster Risk

Catron County, New Mexico

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

37th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#26

of 33 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

41th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 41% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 96% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 1% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 23% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 0% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Catron County, New Mexico

Catron has minimal disaster risk overall

At 36.64, Catron County's composite risk score falls well below both the New Mexico average (58.92) and the national median, earning a very low risk rating. This rural southwestern county benefits from low population density and favorable positioning relative to most major hazard zones.

Among New Mexico's safest counties

Catron ranks near the bottom statewide for composite disaster risk, making it one of New Mexico's lowest-risk communities. Only De Baca County scores lower, reflecting Catron's remote location and sparse development patterns.

Safer than similar southwestern counties

Catron's 36.64 score compares favorably to neighbors like Grant and Hidalgo counties, though it faces higher wildfire risk than some peers. The county's modest population and distance from urban centers keep overall disaster exposure minimal.

Wildfire dominates Catron's hazard profile

Wildfire risk reaches 96.34 in Catron—an extreme score that reflects the county's forest coverage and dry climate, despite low overall composite risk. Flood risk (41.13) and earthquake risk (22.90) remain manageable, while tornado and hurricane threats are negligible.

Prioritize wildfire protection measures

Focus your preparedness efforts on wildfire mitigation: clear defensible space, use fire-resistant roofing, and maintain evacuation readiness. Standard homeowners insurance typically covers wildfire, but verify your policy limits and review them annually as fire seasons intensify.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Catron County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    96th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    41th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    23th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Catron County

Risk Verdict

Catron County's overall natural disaster score at the 37th percentile puts it well below the national median for hazard exposure. Residents of Catron County can use the 37th percentile ranking as a baseline, while recognizing that individual properties may still lie in specific hazard zones that differ from the county average.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Catron County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 96th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 41th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (23th percentile), tornado (1th percentile), hurricane (0th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With wildfire ranked at the 96th percentile nationally, Catron County is in a zone where air quality can deteriorate rapidly before structures are threatened. An N95 respirator and a HEPA air purifier are practical items for Catron County households to have on hand before fire season. A secondary flood exposure at the 41th percentile nationally means Catron County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. Defensible space, insurance review, and an evacuation plan are the three preparedness pillars for Catron County households — and the insurance review is the one most often deferred by Catron County residents and most costly to skip when a fire event actually occurs.

Regional Context

Catron County's composite risk score sits 22.3 points below the New Mexico county average, reflecting a more favorable hazard environment than the state typical.

Is your household prepared for Catron County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Catron County, NM?
Catron County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 37th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Catron County?
Catron County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (96th percentile), flooding (41th percentile), earthquake (23th percentile), tornado (1th percentile), hurricane (0th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 96th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Catron County risk compare to the New Mexico average?
Catron County's composite risk percentile is 37th, compared to the New Mexico state average of 59th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Catron County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in New Mexico.
Is Catron County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Catron County's wildfire risk is at the 96th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Catron County is at the 41th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Catron County a safe place to live?
Catron County's composite risk score of 37th percentile is below the New Mexico state average of 59th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 96th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.