riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Guadalupe County Disaster Risk

Guadalupe County, New Mexico

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

9th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#30

of 33 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

30th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 30% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 81% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 5% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 17% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Guadalupe County, New Mexico

Guadalupe County faces minimal disaster risk

With a composite risk score of just 8.81, Guadalupe County ranks very low and falls far below New Mexico's state average of 58.92. This low risk profile makes Guadalupe one of the safest counties in the state for natural hazard exposure.

Among the lowest-risk counties statewide

Guadalupe County ranks among New Mexico's safest areas for natural disasters, with a score that places it well below most state counties. Only a handful of counties share Guadalupe's very low composite risk designation.

Significantly safer than eastern neighbors

Guadalupe County's risk score of 8.81 is a fraction of neighboring Eddy (83.65) and Lea (86.01) counties to the east. This stark difference reflects Guadalupe's geographic separation from the flood and wildfire corridors that threaten southeastern New Mexico.

Wildfire the only notable exposure

Wildfire is Guadalupe's most significant hazard with a risk score of 81.49, though the county's overall hazard exposure remains manageable. Flood risk (29.87) and earthquake risk (16.63) are low, and tornado and hurricane risks are minimal.

Standard coverage meets most needs

A standard homeowners insurance policy with wildfire coverage should adequately protect Guadalupe County residents from typical hazards. Consider a supplemental wildfire endorsement if your home is near vegetation, but flood insurance is generally unnecessary unless you live near mapped waterways.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Guadalupe County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    81th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    30th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    17th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Guadalupe County

Risk Verdict

Guadalupe County carries a low natural disaster risk burden, scoring at the 9th percentile under the FEMA National Risk Index. Guadalupe County's 9th percentile ranking is favorable, though every county carries at least one natural hazard worth knowing — reviewing the specific risks listed above helps households focus their preparedness where it matters most.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Guadalupe County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 81th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 30th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (17th percentile), tornado (5th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire ranks as Guadalupe County's primary hazard at the 81th percentile nationally. For Guadalupe County households in high-WUI areas, go-bag readiness — the ability to leave within 15 minutes — is more important than shelter-in-place planning for most residential properties. Alongside wildfire, flood at the 30th percentile nationally means a multi-season preparedness mindset — fire season and flood or storm season often require different household plans. Guadalupe County county's local emergency management office publishes community-specific wildfire risk assessments and evacuation zone maps; households should review their zone assignment and sign up for zone-specific alerts.

Regional Context

Compared to the New Mexico county average, Guadalupe County's composite score runs 50.1 points lower — a gap that reflects the county's relatively modest hazard profile within its state context.

Is your household prepared for Guadalupe County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Guadalupe County, NM?
Guadalupe County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 9th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Guadalupe County?
Guadalupe County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (81th percentile), flooding (30th percentile), earthquake (17th percentile), tornado (5th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 81th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Guadalupe County risk compare to the New Mexico average?
Guadalupe County's composite risk percentile is 9th, compared to the New Mexico state average of 59th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Guadalupe County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in New Mexico.
Is Guadalupe County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Guadalupe County's wildfire risk is at the 81th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Guadalupe County is at the 30th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Guadalupe County a safe place to live?
Guadalupe County's composite risk score of 9th percentile is below the New Mexico state average of 59th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 81th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.