Erie County Disaster Risk

Erie County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High, placing it in the 98th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.

Erie County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (99th percentile), tornado (95th percentile), earthquake (86th percentile), hurricane (71th percentile), wildfire (63th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 99th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.

Erie County's composite risk percentile is 98th, compared to the New York state average of 69th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Erie County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in New York.

Yes, Erie County's flooding risk is at the 99th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.

FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.

Erie County's composite risk score of 98th percentile is above the New York state average of 69th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (99th percentile), along with tornado and earthquake and hurricane and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.