riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Bronx County Disaster Risk

Bronx County, New York

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively High

National Percentile

98th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#4

of 62 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

99th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 99% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 2% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 85% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively High

Higher than 95% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Bronx County, New York

Bronx faces New York's highest risk

With a composite risk score of 98.35 and a relatively high rating, Bronx County ranks among the most disaster-exposed counties in the nation. This urban county's density, waterfront geography, and seismic proximity create compounding vulnerabilities that demand serious preparation.

Most vulnerable county in New York

Bronx County's 98.35 score dramatically exceeds New York's 69.42 state average, making it the state's highest-risk county by a significant margin. Its position in the metro New York area amplifies exposure to multiple overlapping hazards.

Exponentially higher risk than surrounding areas

Bronx County's 98.35 score far exceeds all neighboring counties, including nearby Albany (85.88) and Broome (87.47). The Bronx's urban density, coastal exposure, and seismic setting create a unique and elevated risk profile.

Floods, earthquakes, and hurricanes threaten

Flood risk reaches 98.54, earthquake risk stands at 96.69, and hurricane risk hits 95.29—three major hazards operating at critical levels simultaneously. The Bronx's waterfront location and aging infrastructure compound these natural exposures into significant community risk.

Multi-layered insurance is non-negotiable

Flood insurance is essential given the 98.54 flood score, and earthquake coverage deserves serious consideration at 96.69 risk. Verify your homeowners or renters policy includes wind/hurricane protection, and consult a local insurance agent about bundling strategies for maximum coverage.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Bronx County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    99th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    97th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    95th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Bronx County

Risk Verdict

Bronx County's composite risk score ranks at the 98th percentile nationally, reflecting genuine multi-hazard exposure for residents. At this risk level, having a documented household preparedness plan — not just awareness — is the meaningful next step for Bronx County residents.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Bronx County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 99th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 97th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (95th percentile), tornado (85th percentile), wildfire (2th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 99th percentile nationally for flood risk, Bronx County residents benefit from understanding their specific flood zone status. Even one inch of floodwater causes significant structural damage to properties outside officially designated high-risk zones. Secondary earthquake exposure at the 97th percentile adds a second preparedness layer; households should review coverage options and alert sign-up for both hazard types. A tested family preparedness plan specific to Bronx County's primary hazards — including how to shelter in place or evacuate, and who to call — provides more real protection than a general emergency kit sitting unused on a shelf.

Regional Context

The New York county average is 28.9 composite points below Bronx County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Bronx County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Bronx County, NY?
Bronx County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High, placing it in the 98th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Bronx County?
Bronx County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (99th percentile), earthquake (97th percentile), hurricane (95th percentile), tornado (85th percentile), wildfire (2th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 99th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Bronx County risk compare to the New York average?
Bronx County's composite risk percentile is 98th, compared to the New York state average of 69th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Bronx County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in New York.
Is Bronx County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Bronx County's flooding risk is at the 99th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Bronx County higher risk than average?
Bronx County's composite risk score of 98th percentile is above the New York state average of 69th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (99th percentile), along with earthquake and hurricane and tornado risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.