riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Herkimer County Disaster Risk

Herkimer County, New York

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

60th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#43

of 62 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

79th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 79% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 26% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 39% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 51% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 62% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Herkimer County, New York

Herkimer County faces above-moderate U.S. risk

Herkimer County's composite risk score of 60.02 places it above the typical American county, driven by significant flood, hurricane, and tornado exposure. The county's Mohawk Valley location and elevation make it vulnerable to multiple seasonal weather hazards.

Below New York average but upper-middle tier

At 60.02, Herkimer County scores about 14% below New York's 69.42 average, ranking it in the safer-than-average but still vulnerable category statewide. Approximately half of New York's counties carry lower risk, while the other half face greater exposure.

Riskier than upstate neighbors, safer than southeast

Herkimer County (60.02) substantially exceeds Franklin (48.85), Fulton (48.63), and Hamilton (15.11), but falls below Greene County (68.29). This positions Herkimer in the middle of the region, sharing characteristics with both safer Adirondack counties and riskier Hudson Valley communities.

Flooding threatens more than other hazards

Flood risk of 78.53 stands as Herkimer County's dominant natural disaster threat, reflecting Mohawk River and tributary exposure during spring and heavy rain events. Tornado risk of 38.65 and hurricane risk of 62.45 rank second and third, both requiring seasonal vigilance.

Flood insurance and storm prep are essential

Herkimer County residents in or near floodplains must obtain flood insurance—the 78.53 risk score makes this non-negotiable. Additionally, prepare for spring tornadoes and late-summer hurricanes by maintaining an emergency supply kit and ensuring your homeowner's policy covers wind damage.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Herkimer County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    79th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    62th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    51th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Herkimer County

Risk Verdict

Herkimer County has a below-average natural disaster risk profile, scoring at the 60th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Households in Herkimer County benefit from knowing which individual hazard types — flood, wildfire, tornado, or hurricane — are the primary contributors.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Herkimer County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 79th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 62th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (51th percentile), tornado (39th percentile), wildfire (26th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Herkimer County's top natural hazard is flood risk, ranked at the 79th percentile nationally. Homeowners here should confirm whether they are in a FEMA-designated flood zone and check if standard homeowners insurance covers flood damage — it typically does not. The county's second-ranked hazard, hurricane at the 62th percentile nationally, means Herkimer County residents face compounding risks from multiple natural hazard types during peak seasons. For most Herkimer County households, the highest-return preparedness step is storing critical documents in digital cloud backup combined with a pre-designated family meeting point if communication is disrupted.

Regional Context

The New York county average exceeds Herkimer County's score by 9.4 composite points — placing this county in the lower-risk tier relative to its in-state peers.

Is your household prepared for Herkimer County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Herkimer County, NY?
Herkimer County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 60th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Herkimer County?
Herkimer County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (79th percentile), hurricane (62th percentile), earthquake (51th percentile), tornado (39th percentile), wildfire (26th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 79th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Herkimer County risk compare to the New York average?
Herkimer County's composite risk percentile is 60th, compared to the New York state average of 69th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Herkimer County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in New York.
Is Herkimer County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Herkimer County's flooding risk is at the 79th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Herkimer County a safe place to live?
Herkimer County's composite risk score of 60th percentile is below the New York state average of 69th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is flooding at the 79th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.