riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

New York County Disaster Risk

New York County, New York

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively High

National Percentile

99th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#3

of 62 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

99th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 99% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 10% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 89% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in New York County, New York

New York County faces the nation's highest disaster risk

At 98.79, New York County's composite risk score ranks among America's top 1% most disaster-exposed areas, earning a Relatively High rating. Manhattan's dense urban footprint, waterfront geography, and seismic proximity create unique and overlapping vulnerabilities.

Highest disaster risk in all of New York State

New York County's 98.79 score stands above even Nassau County (97.14), making it the state's single most disaster-exposed county. This 29-point margin above the state average of 69.42 reflects Manhattan's extraordinary concentration of hazard exposure.

Incomparably higher risk than any upstate county

New York County (98.79) dwarfs even the highest-risk upstate region, Monroe County (93.77), by 5 full points. Its risk profile stands alone in the state, driven by the island's waterfront exposure and earthquake proximity rather than weather-based hazards.

Flooding and earthquakes create the primary threat

Flood risk (99.24) and earthquake risk (96.95) both reach near-maximum severity in New York County, alongside hurricane risk (96.79) and tornado risk (89.38). Wildfire risk (9.92) represents the lone exception—the island's density and limited open space virtually eliminate this hazard.

Elite-level insurance coverage is essential

Flood insurance, earthquake coverage, wind/hail protection, and substantial umbrella liability are non-negotiable in New York County. Renters should carry renter's insurance with flood and earthquake endorsements; all residents should review policies annually as flood zone maps and building codes evolve.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in New York County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    99th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    97th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    97th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: New York County

Risk Verdict

New York County's composite risk score ranks at the 99th percentile nationally, reflecting genuine multi-hazard exposure for residents. At this risk level, having a documented household preparedness plan — not just awareness — is the meaningful next step for New York County residents.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is New York County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 99th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 97th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (97th percentile), tornado (89th percentile), wildfire (10th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 99th percentile nationally for flood risk, New York County residents benefit from understanding their specific flood zone status. Even one inch of floodwater causes significant structural damage to properties outside officially designated high-risk zones. The county's second-ranked hazard, earthquake at the 97th percentile nationally, means New York County residents face compounding risks from multiple natural hazard types during peak seasons. A tested family preparedness plan specific to New York County's primary hazards — including how to shelter in place or evacuate, and who to call — provides more real protection than a general emergency kit sitting unused on a shelf.

Regional Context

The New York county average is 29.4 composite points below New York County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for New York County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in New York County, NY?
New York County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High, placing it in the 99th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect New York County?
New York County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (99th percentile), earthquake (97th percentile), hurricane (97th percentile), tornado (89th percentile), wildfire (10th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 99th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does New York County risk compare to the New York average?
New York County's composite risk percentile is 99th, compared to the New York state average of 69th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means New York County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in New York.
Is New York County at risk for flooding?
Yes, New York County's flooding risk is at the 99th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is New York County higher risk than average?
New York County's composite risk score of 99th percentile is above the New York state average of 69th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (99th percentile), along with earthquake and hurricane and tornado risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.