riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Otsego County Disaster Risk

Otsego County, New York

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

76th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#27

of 62 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

86th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 86% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 26% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 46% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 47% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 65% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Otsego County, New York

Otsego: Moderate Risk by National Measures

Otsego County scores 75.83 on composite disaster risk, placing it above the national median in the relatively low risk category. This score reflects meaningful but not extreme exposure to multiple hazard types, with flooding creating the most significant threat. Otsego residents face natural disaster risks comparable to or slightly above the American average.

Otsego Above New York's Average Risk

Otsego scores 75.83 compared to New York's state average of 69.42, positioning it above the statewide norm and among the mid-to-higher-risk New York counties. This above-average profile reflects the county's particular vulnerability to flooding and earthquake exposure. Otsego residents should consider their risk profile more serious than most state peers.

Otsego: Higher Risk Than Most Peers

Otsego (75.83) trails only the highest-risk central New York counties of Oneida (86.32) and Onondaga (91.25), outpacing Ontario (63.55), Oswego (67.56), and most other regional neighbors. Otsego's profile places it among the higher-risk areas in its immediate region. Your county faces more serious hazard exposure than most surrounding communities.

Flooding and Earthquake Hazards Stand Out

Otsego's two primary threats are flooding (85.85) and tornadoes (46.28), with significant earthquake risk (47.30) also warranting attention. Flooding represents the most frequent and damaging hazard, while earthquakes create a less common but potentially serious secondary threat. Both flooding and seismic activity deserve serious preparation and risk reduction focus.

Flood and Earthquake Coverage Both Important

Otsego residents should prioritize flood insurance given the 85.85 flood risk score and the reality that standard homeowners policies exclude all water damage. Earthquake insurance should also be evaluated given Otsego's 47.30 seismic risk score. Work with an insurance professional to ensure comprehensive protection against both of these significant hazard types.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Otsego County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    86th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    65th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    47th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Otsego County

Risk Verdict

Otsego County sits below the national average for natural disaster exposure, ranking at the 76th percentile across all U.S. counties. Otsego County's elevated composite score reflects cumulative multi-hazard exposure; households should prepare for the county's two or three primary hazard types.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Otsego County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 86th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 65th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (47th percentile), tornado (46th percentile), wildfire (26th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With flood ranked as the primary hazard at the 86th percentile nationally, Otsego County households should build a go-bag that includes important documents, medications, and supplies to sustain the family for at least three days if evacuation is needed. Secondary hurricane exposure at the 65th percentile adds a second preparedness layer; households should review coverage options and alert sign-up for both hazard types. A waterproof container for documents (insurance policies, ID, prescriptions) and a clear household communication plan for when phone networks are congested are the two highest-value low-cost preparedness steps for Otsego County households.

Regional Context

A composite score 6.4 points above the New York state average puts Otsego County in a higher-risk category than most counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Otsego County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Otsego County, NY?
Otsego County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 76th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Otsego County?
Otsego County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (86th percentile), hurricane (65th percentile), earthquake (47th percentile), tornado (46th percentile), wildfire (26th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 86th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Otsego County risk compare to the New York average?
Otsego County's composite risk percentile is 76th, compared to the New York state average of 69th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Otsego County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in New York.
Is Otsego County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Otsego County's flooding risk is at the 86th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Otsego County higher risk than average?
Otsego County's composite risk score of 76th percentile is above the New York state average of 69th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (86th percentile), along with hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.