riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Westchester County Disaster Risk

Westchester County, New York

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively High

National Percentile

96th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#8

of 62 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

98th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 57% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 73% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 95% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Moderate

Higher than 94% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Westchester County, New York

Westchester faces significantly elevated risk

With a composite risk score of 96.18, Westchester County ranks as relatively high risk—well above the national average and among the most hazard-exposed counties in New York. This elevation reflects multiple concurrent threats including extreme flood vulnerability (97.96) and elevated earthquake and hurricane exposure.

Highest risk among six-county sample

Westchester County's 96.18 score towers above New York's state average of 69.42—a gap of nearly 27 points that positions it as one of the state's most at-risk counties. Within the comparison set, Westchester faces roughly 40% more hazard exposure than its safer neighbors.

Dramatically riskier than all regional peers

Westchester County's 96.18 score dwarfs neighboring Warren County (62.31), Washington County (56.62), and Wayne County (56.27), indicating unique geographic vulnerabilities. This dramatic disparity—nearly 40 points above regional neighbors—reflects Westchester's proximity to coastlines, its urban density, and seismic activity.

Flood, earthquake, and hurricane dangers critical

Flood risk (97.96) reaches near-maximum levels in Westchester County, making it the county's defining hazard; earthquake risk (94.78) and hurricane risk (93.62) compound these threats significantly. Tornado risk (72.71) also exceeds most regional peers, creating a multi-hazard exposure environment unlike surrounding counties.

Comprehensive insurance coverage is non-negotiable

Westchester County residents must obtain flood insurance immediately—this is not optional given your 97.96 flood risk score. Layer in earthquake insurance and ensure hurricane/wind coverage is maximized in your homeowners policy; these three protections address over 85% of your disaster vulnerability.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Westchester County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    98th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    95th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    94th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Westchester County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard exposure in Westchester County is notably high, placing it at the 96th percentile among all U.S. counties. Westchester County's elevated composite score reflects cumulative multi-hazard exposure; households should prepare for the county's two or three primary hazard types.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Westchester County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 98th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 95th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (94th percentile), tornado (73th percentile), wildfire (57th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With flood ranked as the primary hazard at the 98th percentile nationally, Westchester County households should build a go-bag that includes important documents, medications, and supplies to sustain the family for at least three days if evacuation is needed. Secondary earthquake exposure at the 95th percentile adds a second preparedness layer; households should review coverage options and alert sign-up for both hazard types. A waterproof container for documents (insurance policies, ID, prescriptions) and a clear household communication plan for when phone networks are congested are the two highest-value low-cost preparedness steps for Westchester County households.

Regional Context

A composite score 26.8 points above the New York state average puts Westchester County in a higher-risk category than most counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Westchester County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Westchester County, NY?
Westchester County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High, placing it in the 96th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Westchester County?
Westchester County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (98th percentile), earthquake (95th percentile), hurricane (94th percentile), tornado (73th percentile), wildfire (57th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 98th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Westchester County risk compare to the New York average?
Westchester County's composite risk percentile is 96th, compared to the New York state average of 69th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Westchester County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in New York.
Is Westchester County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Westchester County's flooding risk is at the 98th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Westchester County higher risk than average?
Westchester County's composite risk score of 96th percentile is above the New York state average of 69th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (98th percentile), along with earthquake and hurricane and tornado and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.