riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Avery County Disaster Risk

Avery County, North Carolina

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

47th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#80

of 100 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

64th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 64% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 34% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 39% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 51% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 61% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Avery County, North Carolina

Avery County shows below-average national risk

Avery County's composite risk score of 47.49 falls below the U.S. baseline, earning a "Relatively Low" rating. This high-elevation mountain county benefits from lower tornado and hurricane exposure compared to most American regions.

Well below North Carolina's state average

At 47.49, Avery County scores notably lower than North Carolina's 66.72 state average, positioning it among the safer counties statewide. The county's mountain elevation and remoteness from the Atlantic coast explain much of this advantage.

Safer than Ashe, similar to Alleghany County

Avery County's 47.49 score significantly underperforms neighboring Ashe County's 66.76 but sits slightly higher than Alleghany County's very-low 34.67. The county's flood risk at 64.44 elevates it modestly within its mountain-county peer group.

Flooding and wildfire are key exposures

Flood risk reaches 64.44 in Avery County, reflecting the county's mountain terrain and stream systems susceptible to heavy rainfall. Wildfire risk at 34.32 remains relatively modest, though the county's forest cover warrants ongoing attention during dry seasons.

Prioritize flood protection in valley areas

Avery County residents in flood-prone valleys should secure NFIP flood insurance, as standard homeowners policies don't cover water damage. Clear debris from streams and culverts to minimize blockage during heavy rain, and document your property annually for insurance purposes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Avery County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    64th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    61th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    51th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Avery County

Risk Verdict

Avery County ranks at the 47th percentile nationally for natural disaster risk — below the median for U.S. counties. The 47th percentile national ranking is one lens; Avery County residents also benefit from reviewing which specific hazard types drive the county's composite score and preparing accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Avery County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 64th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 61th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (51th percentile), tornado (39th percentile), wildfire (34th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Avery County sits at the 64th percentile nationally for flood exposure. Knowing your property's flood zone designation — available at FEMA's Flood Map Service Center — is the first step toward understanding actual exposure and insurance options. Alongside flooding, hurricane exposure at the 61th percentile means households benefit from a multi-hazard preparedness plan rather than focusing on flood alone. Regardless of specific hazard, Avery County households benefit from a practiced communication plan: a designated out-of-state contact and a pre-agreed evacuation destination established before the season's peak risk period.

Regional Context

A composite score 19.2 points below the North Carolina state average puts Avery County in a better-than-typical position relative to neighboring counties.

Is your household prepared for Avery County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Avery County, NC?
Avery County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 47th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Avery County?
Avery County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (64th percentile), hurricane (61th percentile), earthquake (51th percentile), tornado (39th percentile), wildfire (34th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 64th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Avery County risk compare to the North Carolina average?
Avery County's composite risk percentile is 47th, compared to the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Avery County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in North Carolina.
Is Avery County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Avery County's flooding risk is at the 64th percentile nationally. This is above the national median.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Avery County a safe place to live?
Avery County's composite risk score of 47th percentile is below the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is flooding at the 64th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.