riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Cumberland County Disaster Risk

Cumberland County, North Carolina

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

89th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#16

of 100 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

89th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 89% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 84% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 93% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 88% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Moderate

Higher than 94% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Cumberland County, North Carolina

Cumberland faces well-above-average risk nationally

Cumberland County's composite score of 89.47 significantly exceeds the national average of 50, earning a "Relatively Moderate" risk rating. The county experiences substantial exposure across multiple hazard types, from tornadoes to earthquakes—an unusually diverse threat profile.

Fourth-highest risk in North Carolina

Cumberland's 89.47 score places it among North Carolina's riskiest counties, well above the state average of 66.72. Only a handful of counties statewide face comparably varied and intense natural disaster exposure.

Cumberland leads region in overall risk

Cumberland (89.47) faces notably higher risk than neighboring Davie County (41.67), though it rivals Craven County (93.58) and Duplin County (89.41) in overall score. The county's inland location gives it higher tornado exposure than coastal neighbors, while still maintaining elevated hurricane and flood risks.

Tornadoes, floods, and earthquakes converge

Tornado risk stands at 92.97—the highest threat—while flood risk at 89.25 reflects Cumberland's river systems and heavy rainfall patterns. Earthquake risk at 87.50 is notably high for North Carolina, adding a less-familiar but real seismic dimension to the county's hazard profile.

Multi-layered protection plan needed

Cumberland residents should obtain flood insurance, review earthquake coverage availability, and ensure homeowners policies address high winds. A designated storm shelter and a family communication plan specific to tornadoes and flooding scenarios provide essential safety redundancy.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Cumberland County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    94th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    93th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    89th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Cumberland County

Risk Verdict

Cumberland County faces a moderate natural disaster risk profile, ranking at the 89th percentile nationally under FEMA's composite risk model. This risk level calls for more than general awareness: insurance coverage review, a family communication plan, and a prepared go-bag are practical priorities.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is Cumberland County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 94th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 93th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (89th percentile), earthquake (88th percentile), wildfire (84th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Hurricane risk is Cumberland County's top-ranked natural hazard at the 94th percentile nationally. The most time-sensitive preparedness step is knowing the county's evacuation zone for your address — zone maps are published by the county emergency management office. Cumberland County's tornado exposure at the 93th percentile nationally adds a hazard layer that can persist or intensify after hurricane-force winds have passed, particularly in low-lying inland areas. Cumberland County's county emergency management office publishes official evacuation zone maps with zone-specific shelter locations; downloading this map and identifying your zone assignment is the single highest-value pre-season step.

Regional Context

Cumberland County's composite risk score sits 22.7 points above the North Carolina county average, placing it among the more hazard-exposed counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Cumberland County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Cumberland County, NC?
Cumberland County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 89th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Cumberland County?
Cumberland County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (94th percentile), tornado (93th percentile), flooding (89th percentile), earthquake (88th percentile), wildfire (84th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 94th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Cumberland County risk compare to the North Carolina average?
Cumberland County's composite risk percentile is 89th, compared to the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Cumberland County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in North Carolina.
Is Cumberland County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Cumberland County's hurricane risk is at the 94th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Cumberland County is at the 89th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Cumberland County higher risk than average?
Cumberland County's composite risk score of 89th percentile is above the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by hurricane exposure (94th percentile), along with tornado and flooding and earthquake and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.