riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Duplin County Disaster Risk

Duplin County, North Carolina

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

89th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#17

of 100 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

66th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 66% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 66% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 83% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 69% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Duplin County, North Carolina

Duplin's risk ranks well above national average

Duplin County's composite score of 89.41 significantly exceeds the national average of 50, earning a "Relatively Moderate" rating. The county's coastal-adjacent location and exposure to multiple hazard types create a complex and demanding disaster risk profile.

Among North Carolina's riskiest counties

Duplin's 89.41 score places it in North Carolina's top tier of disaster-prone counties, well above the state average of 66.72. Only a handful of counties face comparably high composite risk across the state's 100.

Duplin rivals coastal and inland risk leaders

Duplin (89.41) matches the risk profile of Craven County (93.58) and nearly mirrors Dare County (89.60), while far exceeding nearby Davie County (41.67). The county's hurricane exposure rivals coastal neighbors while maintaining strong tornado and flood risks that reflect its agricultural heartland location.

Hurricanes and tornadoes drive the threat

Hurricane risk at 97.54 is Duplin's most acute hazard—nearly matching coastal county levels—while tornado risk at 83.11 creates a secondary but significant threat. Flood risk at 66.41 and wildfire risk at 65.90 round out a diverse and challenging multi-hazard environment.

Comprehensive coverage for mixed hazards needed

Duplin residents should secure flood insurance and verify hurricane/wind coverage; the county's dual tornado threat makes a designated shelter space essential. Agricultural properties require additional consideration for wildfire preparedness, including defensible space and clearance around structures.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Duplin County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    98th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    83th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    69th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Duplin County

Risk Verdict

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Duplin County at the 89th percentile nationally — above average and worth proactive preparation. Residents should prioritize a formal household emergency plan, including evacuation routes, insurance review, and a well-stocked emergency kit.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is Duplin County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 98th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 83th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (69th percentile), flood (66th percentile), wildfire (66th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Hurricane exposure at the 98th percentile nationally makes Duplin County a county where pre-season preparedness — not storm-day preparation — determines outcomes. Duplin County evacuation decisions under a watch or warning benefit from prior planning, not routes improvised under time pressure. Tornado at the 83th percentile nationally is Duplin County's secondary hazard, often intensified by the same weather systems that produce hurricane conditions. Duplin County residents benefit from registering with the county's special-needs evacuation registry if household members have mobility limitations, require electricity-dependent medical equipment, or cannot self-evacuate — registration in advance of storm season is required.

Regional Context

Duplin County is 22.7 composite risk points above the North Carolina average, indicating that residents face greater natural hazard exposure than most of their in-state neighbors.

Is your household prepared for Duplin County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Duplin County, NC?
Duplin County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 89th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Duplin County?
Duplin County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (98th percentile), tornado (83th percentile), earthquake (69th percentile), flooding (66th percentile), wildfire (66th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 98th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Duplin County risk compare to the North Carolina average?
Duplin County's composite risk percentile is 89th, compared to the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Duplin County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in North Carolina.
Is Duplin County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Duplin County's hurricane risk is at the 98th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Duplin County is at the 66th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Duplin County higher risk than average?
Duplin County's composite risk score of 89th percentile is above the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by hurricane exposure (98th percentile), along with tornado and earthquake and flooding and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.