riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Lincoln County Disaster Risk

Lincoln County, North Carolina

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

74th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#45

of 100 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

83th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 83% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 38% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 78% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 77% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 66% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Lincoln County, North Carolina

Lincoln County's risk exceeds the U.S. average

Lincoln County scores 73.76 on the composite risk scale, placing it in the Relatively Low category but above the national average. The score reflects substantial exposure to floods, tornadoes, and earthquakes, positioning Lincoln as a higher-hazard county in regional and national context.

Lincoln ranks above the North Carolina average

At 73.76, Lincoln County's composite score exceeds the state average of 66.72, placing it in the upper-middle range of North Carolina counties for natural disaster risk. The county's elevated profile reflects concentrated threats in flood and tornado hazards.

Lincoln shares risk patterns with Iredell County

Lincoln (73.76) and Iredell County (80.79) face similar flood risks—83.24 and 86.64, respectively—and comparable tornado exposure around 78–86. Both are part of a contiguous Piedmont region with shared water and wind vulnerabilities.

Floods and tornadoes pose major threats to Lincoln

Flood risk ranks highest at 83.24, followed closely by tornado risk at 78.44, both well above state norms and reflecting Lincoln's Piedmont geography. Earthquake risk also reaches 77.48, while wildfire risk remains relatively modest at 37.85.

Flood and wind coverage should be your priority

Lincoln residents should purchase homeowners insurance that explicitly includes flood damage coverage and wind/hail protection, given the county's elevated flood and tornado scores. Test your smoke alarms, update your emergency contact list, and familiarize your family with your local tornado safe room.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Lincoln County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    83th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    78th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    77th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Lincoln County

Risk Verdict

Lincoln County ranks at the 74th percentile nationally for natural disaster risk — below the median for U.S. counties. Residents are encouraged to understand which hazards dominate locally and tailor their preparedness accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Lincoln County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 83th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 78th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (77th percentile), hurricane (66th percentile), wildfire (38th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Lincoln County sits at the 83th percentile nationally for flood exposure. Knowing your property's flood zone designation — available at FEMA's Flood Map Service Center — is the first step toward understanding actual exposure and insurance options. Secondary tornado exposure at the 78th percentile adds a second preparedness layer; households should review coverage options and alert sign-up for both hazard types. Regardless of specific hazard, Lincoln County households benefit from a practiced communication plan: a designated out-of-state contact and a pre-agreed evacuation destination established before the season's peak risk period.

Regional Context

Compared to other North Carolina counties, Lincoln County runs 7.0 composite risk points higher than the state mean — reflecting above-average hazard concentration in this area.

Is your household prepared for Lincoln County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Lincoln County, NC?
Lincoln County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 74th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Lincoln County?
Lincoln County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (83th percentile), tornado (78th percentile), earthquake (77th percentile), hurricane (66th percentile), wildfire (38th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 83th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Lincoln County risk compare to the North Carolina average?
Lincoln County's composite risk percentile is 74th, compared to the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Lincoln County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in North Carolina.
Is Lincoln County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Lincoln County's flooding risk is at the 83th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Lincoln County higher risk than average?
Lincoln County's composite risk score of 74th percentile is above the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (83th percentile), along with tornado and earthquake and hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.