riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Swain County Disaster Risk

Swain County, North Carolina

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

49th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#77

of 100 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

63th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 63% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 60% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 35% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 63% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 54% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Swain County, North Carolina

Swain County enjoys low natural disaster risk

With a composite risk score of 49.11, Swain County sits well below both the state average of 66.72 and most national peers, earning a relatively low risk rating. The county's mountainous terrain and interior location provide natural protection against coastal and wind-driven hazards.

Below-average risk among North Carolina counties

Swain's 49.11 score places it among North Carolina's safest communities, sitting substantially below the state average of 66.72. The county's low tornado risk (35.43) is particularly notable, reflecting the protective effects of Appalachian geography.

Swain is safer than most regional neighbors

Swain's 49.11 score is lower than Transylvania (64.25), Rutherford (72.68), and all other measured counties in the region. The county's mountain location provides advantages that translate directly into reduced disaster vulnerability.

Floods represent Swain's primary natural disaster risk

Flood risk (62.50) is Swain's highest hazard score, likely reflecting the county's mountain streams and elevation changes. Wildfire (60.31) and earthquake (63.39) risks are moderate, while tornado (35.43) and hurricane (54.15) risks remain well below state averages.

Flood insurance is Swain's main coverage priority

Swain County residents should focus on flood insurance for stream and flash flood protection, particularly those in mountain valleys or near watercourses. With overall composite risk at 49.11 and flood risk at 62.50, targeted flood coverage provides the most critical protection for this mountain community.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Swain County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    63th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    63th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    60th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Swain County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard pressure in Swain County is below the national midpoint, with a composite score at the 49th percentile. Even at the 49th percentile, Swain County's composite score reflects real hazard exposure categories — knowing which ones apply locally enables targeted, efficient household preparedness.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Swain County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 63th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 63th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (60th percentile), hurricane (54th percentile), tornado (35th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Earthquake exposure at the 63th percentile nationally puts Swain County in a zone where utilities — gas, water, electrical — are the most common post-quake hazard. Knowing how to shut off the main gas valve is an important household skill to develop before an event occurs. Alongside earthquake exposure, Swain County's flood risk at the 63th percentile nationally reinforces the value of maintaining a household emergency supply cache usable for multiple hazard scenarios. Swain County households benefit from keeping shoes and a flashlight near the bed — post-earthquake navigation through debris in the dark is a common cause of secondary injury. This low-cost step has outsized protective value.

Regional Context

Swain County's composite risk score sits 17.6 points below the North Carolina county average, reflecting a more favorable hazard environment than the state typical.

Is your household prepared for Swain County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Swain County, NC?
Swain County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 49th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Swain County?
Swain County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (63th percentile), flooding (63th percentile), wildfire (60th percentile), hurricane (54th percentile), tornado (35th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 63th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Swain County risk compare to the North Carolina average?
Swain County's composite risk percentile is 49th, compared to the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Swain County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in North Carolina.
Is Swain County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Swain County's earthquake risk is at the 63th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Swain County is at the 63th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Swain County a safe place to live?
Swain County's composite risk score of 49th percentile is below the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is earthquake at the 63th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.