riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Ward County Disaster Risk

Ward County, North Dakota

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

65th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#3

of 53 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

42th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 42% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 79% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 66% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 12% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Ward County, North Dakota

Ward County faces notably elevated risk

With a composite score of 64.76, Ward County ranks as Relatively Low but sits well above the national average, placing it in the higher-risk category for the region. This reflects its exposure to multiple serious hazards.

Ward County is North Dakota's riskiest

At 64.76, Ward County's composite risk score nearly triples the state average of 22.19, making it the highest-risk county in North Dakota. This significant elevation reflects the convergence of tornado, wildfire, and flood threats in the county.

Far riskier than surrounding counties

Ward County (64.76) faces substantially higher hazards than neighbors Traill (11.01), Walsh (29.01), and Wells (8.59). Only Williams County (53.66) approaches Ward's risk level in the region.

Tornadoes pose the greatest threat

Tornado risk (66.13) is Ward County's most serious hazard, significantly exceeding state and regional norms. Wildfire risk (79.42) and flood risk (41.89) round out the top three concerns, creating a complex disaster landscape.

Build a comprehensive emergency plan

Ward County residents should invest in tornado shelter construction or safe room installation as a priority. Review homeowners and flood insurance policies annually, consider adding sump pumps and backup power systems, and practice family tornado drills every spring.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Ward County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    79th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    66th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    42th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Ward County

Risk Verdict

Ward County has a below-average natural disaster risk profile, scoring at the 65th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Households in Ward County benefit from knowing which individual hazard types — flood, wildfire, tornado, or hurricane — are the primary contributors.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Ward County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 79th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 66th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (42th percentile), earthquake (12th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire is Ward County's top-ranked natural hazard at the 79th percentile nationally. Ward County residents should assess whether their property lies within or adjacent to a Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) zone, where ember transport and rapid spread pose the highest risk. The county's tornado exposure at the 66th percentile nationally complements the wildfire risk — saturating rain after burn scarring often triggers secondary flood and debris flow events. For Ward County households, a practiced evacuation plan — with a primary and backup route designated before a fire occurs — provides more protection than any structural improvement when a wildfire approaches fast-moving terrain.

Regional Context

Ward County's composite risk score sits 42.6 points above the North Dakota county average, placing it among the more hazard-exposed counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Ward County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Ward County, ND?
Ward County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 65th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Ward County?
Ward County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (79th percentile), tornado (66th percentile), flooding (42th percentile), earthquake (12th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 79th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Ward County risk compare to the North Dakota average?
Ward County's composite risk percentile is 65th, compared to the North Dakota state average of 22th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Ward County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in North Dakota.
Is Ward County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Ward County's wildfire risk is at the 79th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Ward County is at the 42th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Ward County higher risk than average?
Ward County's composite risk score of 65th percentile is above the North Dakota state average of 22th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (79th percentile), along with tornado risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.