riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Ashtabula County Disaster Risk

Ashtabula County, Ohio

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

63th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#35

of 88 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

73th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 73% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 36% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 79% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 55% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 52% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Ashtabula County, Ohio

Ashtabula County faces moderate-high risk

Ashtabula County's composite risk score of 62.60 exceeds the national average, with tornado exposure (78.78) and flooding (72.58) as significant national outliers. The county's Great Lakes proximity and regional geography create elevated hazard exposure.

Above-average vulnerability for Ohio

At 62.60, Ashtabula County ranks 7.57 points above Ohio's state average of 55.03, placing it in the state's higher-risk category. The county's tornado hazard particularly distinguishes it within Ohio's risk landscape.

Notably riskier than western neighbors

Ashtabula County's score of 62.60 exceeds Ashland County (46.34) and Auglaize County (41.76) significantly, though it remains safer than Athens County (68.73). The county's tornado exposure (78.78) is among the highest in this region.

Tornado and flood threats are acute

Tornado risk dominates at 78.78, making Ashtabula one of Ohio's tornado hotspots; flood risk follows at 72.58, both substantially outpacing the county's composite score. Combined, these two hazards create a significant seasonal and year-round risk profile.

Tornado preparedness is critical

Ashtabula County residents must maintain a detailed tornado safety plan, including a reinforced shelter or interior room away from windows, and practice drills quarterly. Flood insurance is equally essential for any property within a flood zone, and weather alert subscriptions should be active during spring storm season.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Ashtabula County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    79th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    73th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    55th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Ashtabula County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard pressure in Ashtabula County is below the national midpoint, with a composite score at the 63th percentile. Proactive emergency planning and awareness of the specific hazards driving Ashtabula County's score can meaningfully reduce household risk.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Ashtabula County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 79th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 73th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (55th percentile), hurricane (52th percentile), wildfire (36th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With tornado ranked at the 79th percentile nationally, Ashtabula County sits in a high-exposure zone where the difference between outcomes often comes down to proximity to a reinforced interior shelter and seconds of warning time. Alongside tornado exposure, flood at the 73th percentile nationally means Ashtabula County households face multi-hazard severe-weather seasons that benefit from a single integrated emergency plan covering both threats. For Ashtabula County households, safe rooms certified to FEMA 320/361 standards offer the highest protection during a direct tornado hit; households without a safe room should locate the innermost lowest-floor room in their building and practice the route to it before storm season.

Regional Context

Ashtabula County is 7.6 composite risk points above the Ohio average, indicating that residents face greater natural hazard exposure than most of their in-state neighbors.

Is your household prepared for Ashtabula County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Ashtabula County, OH?
Ashtabula County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 63th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Ashtabula County?
Ashtabula County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (79th percentile), flooding (73th percentile), earthquake (55th percentile), hurricane (52th percentile), wildfire (36th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 79th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Ashtabula County risk compare to the Ohio average?
Ashtabula County's composite risk percentile is 63th, compared to the Ohio state average of 55th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Ashtabula County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Ohio.
Is Ashtabula County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Ashtabula County's tornado risk is at the 79th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Ashtabula County is at the 73th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Ashtabula County higher risk than average?
Ashtabula County's composite risk score of 63th percentile is above the Ohio state average of 55th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (79th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake and hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.