riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Deschutes County Disaster Risk

Deschutes County, Oregon

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

85th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#14

of 36 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

89th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 89% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 9% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 83% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Deschutes County, Oregon

Deschutes: Moderate Risk Above U.S. Average

Deschutes County scores 84.92 on the composite risk scale, placing it well above the national average and marking it as relatively moderate risk. This score reflects significant exposure to multiple hazard types, particularly wildfire and earthquake activity. Most U.S. counties score considerably lower, making Deschutes' risk profile more active than typical.

A Risky Middle Ground in Oregon

Deschutes ranks above Oregon's state average composite risk of 63.43, putting it among the higher-risk counties statewide. While not the state's most hazardous county, Deschutes faces notably more disaster exposure than most Oregon communities. Its 84.92 score signals consistent multi-hazard vulnerability across the region.

Riskier Than Eastern Oregon Peers

Deschutes faces significantly higher overall risk than neighboring Gilliam County (2.74), Grant County (32.12), and Jefferson County (29.87). Its risk profile more closely resembles other high-exposure Oregon counties like Jackson and Douglas, which also score in the 90s. The sharp contrast with surrounding eastern Oregon counties reflects Deschutes' unique geography and seismic activity.

Wildfire and Earthquake Top the Threat List

Wildfire risk dominates Deschutes at 97.77, placing it among Oregon's most fire-prone areas, while earthquake risk of 83.05 reflects its position near tectonic zones. Flood risk at 88.90 adds a third significant concern, particularly in riparian zones and flood-prone communities. Tornado activity remains low at 8.75, offering one area of reduced exposure.

Prioritize Fire and Earthquake Coverage

Deschutes residents should ensure robust homeowners insurance that specifically covers wildfire damage, as standard policies often exclude it. Consider earthquake insurance given the county's substantial seismic risk of 83.05, and verify that flood insurance is adequate if your property sits in or near designated flood zones. A comprehensive risk assessment with a local insurance agent is essential given the county's multiple significant hazards.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Deschutes County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    98th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    89th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    83th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Deschutes County

Risk Verdict

At the 85th percentile nationally, Deschutes County sits in the upper half of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure. At this risk level, having a documented household preparedness plan — not just awareness — is the meaningful next step for Deschutes County residents.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Deschutes County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 98th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 89th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (83th percentile), tornado (9th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Deschutes County sits at the 98th percentile for wildfire exposure. Signing up for Deschutes County's county emergency alert system and knowing the pre-planned evacuation route before conditions deteriorate are the two highest-value preparedness actions for residents here. The county's flood exposure at the 89th percentile nationally complements the wildfire risk — saturating rain after burn scarring often triggers secondary flood and debris flow events. In Deschutes County, wildfire smoke often precedes the flame front by hours or days; households benefit from tracking EPA's AirNow.gov and having HEPA air filtration available as a first line of indoor protection when air quality alerts are issued.

Regional Context

The Oregon county average is 21.5 composite points below Deschutes County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Deschutes County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Deschutes County, OR?
Deschutes County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 85th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Deschutes County?
Deschutes County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (98th percentile), flooding (89th percentile), earthquake (83th percentile), tornado (9th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 98th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Deschutes County risk compare to the Oregon average?
Deschutes County's composite risk percentile is 85th, compared to the Oregon state average of 63th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Deschutes County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Oregon.
Is Deschutes County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Deschutes County's wildfire risk is at the 98th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Deschutes County is at the 89th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Deschutes County higher risk than average?
Deschutes County's composite risk score of 85th percentile is above the Oregon state average of 63th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (98th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.