riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Lake County Disaster Risk

Lake County, Oregon

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

19th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#33

of 36 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

38th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 38% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 89% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 2% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 73% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Lake County, Oregon

Lake County sits below national risk

Lake County's composite risk score of 19.08 places it well below the national average, earning a Very Low risk rating. This makes Lake one of the safest counties in the United States for natural disasters. However, wildfire and earthquake risks still merit attention despite the overall low profile.

Oregon's least risky county

At 19.08, Lake County has the lowest composite risk score among all 36 Oregon counties—far below the state average of 63.43. Lake's very low rating reflects its remote, sparsely populated geography in south-central Oregon. Even Oregon's safest county faces modest wildfire and earthquake exposure that residents should prepare for.

Dramatically safer than Klamath and Josephine

Lake County (19.08) is dramatically safer than adjacent Klamath (77.93) and Josephine (90.24) counties. Lake's wildfire risk of 89.22 matches regional peers, but its low composite score reflects minimal flood and earthquake exposure. This dramatic disparity shows how geography and development patterns drive disaster risk within a single region.

Wildfire dominates Lake's risk profile

Lake County's wildfire risk of 89.22 is its most serious exposure, though still manageable given the county's low population density. Earthquake risk (72.90) and flood risk (37.60) present minor concerns by comparison. Tornado risk remains negligible at 2.04.

Standard coverage usually sufficient here

Lake County's low composite risk means standard homeowners insurance typically provides adequate protection, though wildfire riders should still be reviewed. Earthquake insurance is optional here given the 72.90 risk, but consider it for added peace of mind. Focus preparedness dollars on wildfire mitigation—clearing defensible space and using fire-resistant materials.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Lake County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    89th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    73th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    38th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Lake County

Risk Verdict

Lake County's overall natural disaster score at the 19th percentile puts it well below the national median for hazard exposure. At the 19th percentile, Lake County's risk profile is among the more manageable in the country — the hazard-specific breakdown above shows where any remaining preparedness focus is best directed.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Lake County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 89th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 73th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (38th percentile), tornado (2th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With wildfire ranked at the 89th percentile nationally, Lake County is in a zone where air quality can deteriorate rapidly before structures are threatened. An N95 respirator and a HEPA air purifier are practical items for Lake County households to have on hand before fire season. Alongside wildfire, earthquake at the 73th percentile nationally means a multi-season preparedness mindset — fire season and flood or storm season often require different household plans. Defensible space, insurance review, and an evacuation plan are the three preparedness pillars for Lake County households — and the insurance review is the one most often deferred by Lake County residents and most costly to skip when a fire event actually occurs.

Regional Context

Lake County's composite risk score sits 44.3 points below the Oregon county average, reflecting a more favorable hazard environment than the state typical.

Is your household prepared for Lake County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Lake County, OR?
Lake County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 19th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Lake County?
Lake County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (89th percentile), earthquake (73th percentile), flooding (38th percentile), tornado (2th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 89th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Lake County risk compare to the Oregon average?
Lake County's composite risk percentile is 19th, compared to the Oregon state average of 63th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Lake County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Oregon.
Is Lake County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Lake County's wildfire risk is at the 89th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Lake County is at the 38th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Lake County a safe place to live?
Lake County's composite risk score of 19th percentile is below the Oregon state average of 63th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 89th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.