riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Cumberland County Disaster Risk

Cumberland County, Pennsylvania

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

86th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#16

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

91th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 91% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 48% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 68% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 82% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Moderate

Higher than 87% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Cumberland County, Pennsylvania

Cumberland ranks as moderately hazard-prone

A composite risk score of 86.20 places Cumberland well above the national average, earning a Relatively Moderate risk rating. The county faces high exposure across nearly all hazard categories, particularly from flooding (91.13), earthquakes (81.93), and hurricanes (87.44).

Second-highest risk in Pennsylvania

Cumberland's 86.20 score ranks second only to Delaware County (92.91) among Pennsylvania's 67 counties, significantly exceeding the state average of 67.45. This elevated position reflects the county's central location and proximity to major seismic zones, tornado corridors, and hurricane-influenced weather patterns.

Dramatically riskier than northern counterparts

Cumberland (86.20) faces substantially higher composite risk than Clearfield (67.11) or Clinton (51.78) counties to the north, with particularly acute exposure to tornadoes and earthquakes. Only southeastern Delaware County exceeds Cumberland's hazard burden, making the south-central corridor Pennsylvania's most disaster-prone region.

Floods, earthquakes, and tornadoes align here

Flood risk dominates at 91.13, while earthquake risk of 81.93 and tornado risk of 68.16 create a triple-threat hazard profile. These three hazards collectively drive Cumberland's Relatively Moderate rating and demand comprehensive household preparedness across multiple disaster types.

Multi-hazard insurance strategy essential

Flood insurance at 91.13 flood risk is absolutely critical; pair it with earthquake coverage given the 81.93 seismic exposure. Reinforce your home's roof and foundation to withstand both tornadoes (68.16 risk) and earthquakes, and maintain an emergency kit addressing all three primary hazards.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Cumberland County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    91th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    87th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    82th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Cumberland County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard risk in Cumberland County is higher than the majority of U.S. counties, with a national composite rank of 86th. Cumberland County's elevated composite score reflects cumulative multi-hazard exposure; households should prepare for the county's two or three primary hazard types.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Cumberland County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 91th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 87th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (82th percentile), tornado (68th percentile), wildfire (48th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With flood ranked as the primary hazard at the 91th percentile nationally, Cumberland County households should build a go-bag that includes important documents, medications, and supplies to sustain the family for at least three days if evacuation is needed. Secondary hurricane exposure at the 87th percentile adds a second preparedness layer; households should review coverage options and alert sign-up for both hazard types. A waterproof container for documents (insurance policies, ID, prescriptions) and a clear household communication plan for when phone networks are congested are the two highest-value low-cost preparedness steps for Cumberland County households.

Regional Context

A composite score 18.7 points above the Pennsylvania state average puts Cumberland County in a higher-risk category than most counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Cumberland County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Cumberland County, PA?
Cumberland County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 86th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Cumberland County?
Cumberland County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (91th percentile), hurricane (87th percentile), earthquake (82th percentile), tornado (68th percentile), wildfire (48th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 91th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Cumberland County risk compare to the Pennsylvania average?
Cumberland County's composite risk percentile is 86th, compared to the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Cumberland County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Pennsylvania.
Is Cumberland County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Cumberland County's flooding risk is at the 91th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Cumberland County higher risk than average?
Cumberland County's composite risk score of 86th percentile is above the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (91th percentile), along with hurricane and earthquake and tornado risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.