riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Mercer County Disaster Risk

Mercer County, Pennsylvania

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

78th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#26

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

88th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 88% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 36% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 55% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 52% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 65% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Mercer County, Pennsylvania

Mercer's risk exceeds national norms

With a composite risk score of 77.74, Mercer County faces above-average natural disaster exposure compared to typical U.S. counties. The county's "Relatively Low" rating indicates that while hazards are present, they remain manageable with appropriate preparation. Residents should prioritize protections for the hazards that score highest.

Above average for Pennsylvania

Mercer County's risk score of 77.74 exceeds Pennsylvania's state average of 67.45, placing it among the state's more vulnerable counties. The county's flood (87.88) and tornado (55.34) exposures drive much of this elevated ranking. Despite above-average risk, Mercer maintains a "Relatively Low" rating, meaning hazards are significant but not extreme.

Comparable risk to nearby counties

Mercer County's score of 77.74 is close to Lycoming County (79.58) and significantly higher than McKean County (53.78) to the east. It trails Monroe County (85.08) and Northampton County (90.01) but substantially exceeds Montour County (14.66). Mercer residents face similar challenge levels to those in Lycoming but greater safety than the state's highest-risk counties.

Flooding and tornadoes pose risks

Mercer County's flood risk score of 87.88 represents the county's most serious hazard—among the highest in Pennsylvania. Tornado exposure ranks second at 55.34, making severe thunderstorms a genuine seasonal concern. Wildfire risk is moderate at 36.35, adding another consideration for property owners in forested areas.

Prepare for flooding and storms

Flood insurance is essential in Mercer County given its 87.88 risk score; standard homeowners coverage excludes flood damage entirely. Install a safe room or underground shelter to protect your family during tornado season, typically spring and early summer. Maintain trees around your home to reduce wind damage risk during severe thunderstorms.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Mercer County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    88th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    65th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    55th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Mercer County

Risk Verdict

With a national percentile rank of 78th, Mercer County faces below-average hazard exposure relative to U.S. counties as a whole. Proactive preparedness — not reactive response — is key to managing life in one of the country's higher-risk counties; Mercer County residents should plan accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Mercer County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 88th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 65th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (55th percentile), earthquake (52th percentile), wildfire (36th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With flood risk ranking at the 88th percentile nationally, Mercer County residents face one of the most financially damaging hazards without specialized coverage. Flood insurance through the NFIP or a private carrier is worth evaluating regardless of current mortgage requirements. The county's second-ranked hazard, hurricane at the 65th percentile nationally, means Mercer County residents face compounding risks from multiple natural hazard types during peak seasons. Registering for Mercer County's county emergency alert system — typically through the county emergency management office's website — ensures households receive early warning when flood events develop faster than forecast.

Regional Context

At 10.3 points above the Pennsylvania state average, Mercer County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical Pennsylvania county.

Is your household prepared for Mercer County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Mercer County, PA?
Mercer County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 78th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Mercer County?
Mercer County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (88th percentile), hurricane (65th percentile), tornado (55th percentile), earthquake (52th percentile), wildfire (36th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 88th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Mercer County risk compare to the Pennsylvania average?
Mercer County's composite risk percentile is 78th, compared to the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Mercer County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Pennsylvania.
Is Mercer County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Mercer County's flooding risk is at the 88th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Mercer County higher risk than average?
Mercer County's composite risk score of 78th percentile is above the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (88th percentile), along with hurricane and tornado and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.