riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

El Paso County Disaster Risk

El Paso County, Texas

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively High

National Percentile

95th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#15

of 254 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

97th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 71% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 35% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 92% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 41% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in El Paso County, Texas

El Paso County's Significant Risk

El Paso County scores 95.45 on the national composite risk scale, earning a Relatively High rating and placing it among America's most hazard-exposed counties. This exceptional elevation reflects El Paso's unique convergence of flood, wildfire, and earthquake risks—a combination uncommon in most of the United States. Residents face natural disaster exposure nearly double the national average.

Texas's Highest-Risk County

At 95.45, El Paso County ranks as the single most hazard-exposed county in Texas, nearly doubling the state average of 49.00. No other Texas county surpasses El Paso's composite risk score, making it the state's natural disaster capital by this measure. This exceptional elevation reflects the county's exposure to floods, wildfires, and earthquakes simultaneously.

Far Beyond Any Regional Comparison

El Paso County's 95.45 dramatically exceeds every nearby county: Ector (82.82), Edwards (5.73), and even the high-risk Ellis County (81.62) pale in comparison. El Paso stands isolated at the extreme high end of Texas's natural disaster risk distribution. This exceptional concentration of hazards makes El Paso's preparedness requirements unprecedented in the state.

Flood, Earthquake, and Wildfire Triangle

El Paso County faces an exceptional triple threat: flood risk at 96.82, earthquake risk at 92.08, and wildfire risk at 70.96, creating a unique hazard convergence unmatched in Texas. These three hazards account for the vast majority of the county's 95.45 composite score. No other Texas county requires insurance preparedness across this specific combination of disaster types.

Flood, Earthquake, and Wildfire Coverage Imperative

El Paso County residents must obtain separate flood insurance—the county's 96.82 score demands this, and standard policies exclude flooding. Earthquake insurance is equally critical at 92.08 exposure and is typically unavailable through standard homeowners policies. Add comprehensive wildfire coverage and document your home's contents thoroughly for disaster recovery.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in El Paso County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    97th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    92th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    71th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: El Paso County

Risk Verdict

El Paso County ranks in the top tier for natural disaster risk nationally, with a composite score at the 95th percentile. Comprehensive household preparedness — including reviewing insurance, maintaining emergency supplies, and knowing evacuation routes — is strongly recommended.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is El Paso County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 97th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 92th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (71th percentile), hurricane (41th percentile), tornado (35th percentile).

Preparedness Context

El Paso County sits at the 97th percentile nationally for flood exposure. Knowing your property's flood zone designation — available at FEMA's Flood Map Service Center — is the first step toward understanding actual exposure and insurance options. Alongside flooding, earthquake exposure at the 92th percentile means households benefit from a multi-hazard preparedness plan rather than focusing on flood alone. Regardless of specific hazard, El Paso County households benefit from a practiced communication plan: a designated out-of-state contact and a pre-agreed evacuation destination established before the season's peak risk period.

Regional Context

Compared to other Texas counties, El Paso County runs 46.5 composite risk points higher than the state mean — reflecting above-average hazard concentration in this area.

Is your household prepared for El Paso County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in El Paso County, TX?
El Paso County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High, placing it in the 95th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect El Paso County?
El Paso County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (97th percentile), earthquake (92th percentile), wildfire (71th percentile), hurricane (41th percentile), tornado (35th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 97th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does El Paso County risk compare to the Texas average?
El Paso County's composite risk percentile is 95th, compared to the Texas state average of 49th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means El Paso County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Texas.
Is El Paso County at risk for flooding?
Yes, El Paso County's flooding risk is at the 97th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is El Paso County higher risk than average?
El Paso County's composite risk score of 95th percentile is above the Texas state average of 49th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (97th percentile), along with earthquake and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.