riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Gaines County Disaster Risk

Gaines County, Texas

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

58th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#119

of 254 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

30th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 30% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 93% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 43% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 20% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 39% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Gaines County, Texas

Gaines County's Wildfire Risk Stands Out

Gaines's composite risk score of 57.63 ranks as relatively low overall, but its wildfire hazard score of 93.38 is exceptional and far exceeds the national average. This West Texas county faces concentrated wildfire exposure that dominates its disaster risk profile.

Above Average, Driven by Wildfire

With a composite score of 57.63 versus Texas's state average of 49.00, Gaines runs higher in statewide rankings. The elevation is almost entirely due to wildfire risk, which at 93.38 ranks among the highest in the state.

Wildfire Risk Exceeds Area Peers

Gaines's wildfire score of 93.38 significantly outpaces neighboring Dawson and Martin counties in the Permian Basin region. The open prairie landscape and sparse vegetation create conditions for rapid fire spread across large areas.

Wildfire Is the Primary Threat

Gaines faces extreme wildfire risk (93.38) that dwarfs all other hazards in the county, while flood (30.38), tornado (43.48), and hurricane risks remain modest. Grassland fires can spread miles in hours, threatening ranches, structures, and livestock across the semiarid landscape.

Prepare for Rapid Wildfire Spread

Gaines homeowners should maintain defensible space with cleared vegetation, have an evacuation plan, and ensure structures meet fire-resistant building codes. Homeowner insurance should explicitly cover wildfire damage; standard policies may exclude or limit coverage for brush fires.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Gaines County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    93th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    43th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    39th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Gaines County

Risk Verdict

At the 58th percentile nationally, Gaines County experiences a manageable level of natural hazard risk that falls below the U.S. median. Gaines County's risk profile calls for targeted preparedness, focusing on the hazard categories that dominate the county's score.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Gaines County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 93th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 43th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (39th percentile), flood (30th percentile), earthquake (20th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire ranks as Gaines County's primary hazard at the 93th percentile nationally. For Gaines County households in high-WUI areas, go-bag readiness — the ability to leave within 15 minutes — is more important than shelter-in-place planning for most residential properties. Alongside wildfire, tornado at the 43th percentile nationally means a multi-season preparedness mindset — fire season and flood or storm season often require different household plans. Gaines County county's local emergency management office publishes community-specific wildfire risk assessments and evacuation zone maps; households should review their zone assignment and sign up for zone-specific alerts.

Regional Context

Gaines County falls 8.6 points above Texas's typical county risk level, which means the hazard environment here is notably more demanding than the state baseline.

Is your household prepared for Gaines County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Gaines County, TX?
Gaines County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 58th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Gaines County?
Gaines County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (93th percentile), tornado (43th percentile), hurricane (39th percentile), flooding (30th percentile), earthquake (20th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 93th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Gaines County risk compare to the Texas average?
Gaines County's composite risk percentile is 58th, compared to the Texas state average of 49th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Gaines County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Texas.
Is Gaines County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Gaines County's wildfire risk is at the 93th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Gaines County is at the 30th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Gaines County higher risk than average?
Gaines County's composite risk score of 58th percentile is above the Texas state average of 49th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (93th percentile). Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.