riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Hale County Disaster Risk

Hale County, Texas

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

78th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#58

of 254 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

43th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 43% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 78% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 85% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 42% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 40% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Hale County, Texas

Hale County faces moderate wildfire risk

Hale County's composite risk score of 78.44 ranks as relatively low but exceeds the Texas state average of 49.00. The county's wildfire risk of 77.67 and tornado risk of 85.50 are both elevated, reflecting its Panhandle location.

Panhandle wildfire exposure stands out

Hale County ranks moderately on the statewide risk scale, with wildfire (77.67) and tornado (85.50) scores both well above Texas averages. The county's location in the Panhandle creates conditions for both grass fires and severe spring weather.

Similar risk to surrounding counties

Hale County's score of 78.44 is comparable to Grayson County (80.31) and exceeds Gray County's overall composite (59.89), though Gray's wildfire risk is higher. The county faces a balanced hazard profile typical of the Panhandle region.

Tornadoes and wildfires dominate

Hale County's tornado risk of 85.50 and wildfire risk of 77.67 are its primary hazards, with spring bringing severe weather and drought seasons bringing fire danger. Earthquake risk (42.30) and flood risk (43.45) are moderate secondary concerns.

Prepare for spring and fire season

Hale County residents should develop a tornado safety plan with a designated shelter and maintain a weather alert system for spring storms. Clear defensible space around your home by removing dead vegetation and branches, and verify your homeowners policy covers wind and hail from severe weather.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Hale County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    85th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    78th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    43th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Hale County

Risk Verdict

With a national percentile rank of 78th, Hale County faces below-average hazard exposure relative to U.S. counties as a whole. Proactive preparedness — not reactive response — is key to managing life in one of the country's higher-risk counties; Hale County residents should plan accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Hale County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 85th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 78th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (43th percentile), earthquake (42th percentile), hurricane (40th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 85th percentile nationally for tornado risk, Hale County households benefit most from a reliable alert system — a NOAA weather radio that activates during overnight hours when residents may not be checking smartphone alerts. The secondary wildfire hazard at the 78th percentile nationally adds seasonal complexity to Hale County's preparedness calendar, since wildfire and tornado risk often peak at different points in the year. For Hale County households, a pre-decided family shelter plan — who goes where, how children are retrieved from school during a warning, and a neighborhood meet-up point if phones fail — provides real protection that no supply kit alone can replicate.

Regional Context

At 29.4 points above the Texas state average, Hale County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical Texas county.

Is your household prepared for Hale County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Hale County, TX?
Hale County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 78th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Hale County?
Hale County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (85th percentile), wildfire (78th percentile), flooding (43th percentile), earthquake (42th percentile), hurricane (40th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 85th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Hale County risk compare to the Texas average?
Hale County's composite risk percentile is 78th, compared to the Texas state average of 49th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Hale County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Texas.
Is Hale County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Hale County's tornado risk is at the 85th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Hale County is at the 43th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Hale County higher risk than average?
Hale County's composite risk score of 78th percentile is above the Texas state average of 49th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (85th percentile), along with wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.