riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Bedford County Disaster Risk

Bedford County, Virginia

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

51th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#34

of 133 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

68th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 68% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 67% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 25% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 60% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 73% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Bedford County, Virginia

Bedford faces moderate-to-elevated disaster risk

Bedford County's composite risk score of 51.18 places it above the national average, though it earns a 'Relatively Low' overall rating. This moderate-elevation score reflects significant exposure to floods (68.26), hurricanes (73.01), and wildfires (66.63). The county sits in a sweet spot between low-risk mountain regions and high-risk coastal areas, but shouldn't be mistaken for truly safe ground.

Riskier than average Virginia county

Bedford's score of 51.18 substantially exceeds Virginia's state average of 33.27, placing it in the upper tier of state risk rankings. This means Bedford residents face hazard exposure comparable to or higher than most Virginians. The county's central location and varied terrain create a complex disaster risk profile.

Bedford's risks echo nearby Buchanan County

Buchanan County (50.60) shares nearly identical composite risk to Bedford, while Augusta County (68.61) to the north runs substantially higher. Bath County (5.38) and Bland County (13.04) represent a different risk universe entirely. Bedford sits in a moderate-risk corridor with notable flood and wildfire exposure compared to its mountain neighbors.

Flooding and hurricanes are primary concerns

Flood risk at 68.26 and hurricane risk at 73.01 represent Bedford's dominant hazards, with wildfire (66.63) also significant due to the county's mixed terrain. Earthquake risk (60.18) rounds out a respectable threat profile. These aren't rare events: Bedford's history includes notable flood damage during hurricane remnants and spring runoff events.

Comprehensive coverage protects your investment

Flood insurance deserves serious consideration given your 68.26 flood risk score, especially if you're near streams, rivers, or low-lying areas. Homeowners insurance should include adequate coverage limits, and consider umbrella liability protection given wildfire exposure (66.63). Work with a local agent familiar with Bedford's specific hazards and your property's individual risk factors.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Bedford County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    73th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    68th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    67th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Bedford County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard pressure in Bedford County is below the national midpoint, with a composite score at the 51th percentile. Proactive emergency planning and awareness of the specific hazards driving Bedford County's score can meaningfully reduce household risk.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is Bedford County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 73th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 68th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (67th percentile), earthquake (60th percentile), tornado (25th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Hurricane exposure at the 73th percentile nationally makes Bedford County a county where pre-season preparedness — not storm-day preparation — determines outcomes. Bedford County evacuation decisions under a watch or warning benefit from prior planning, not routes improvised under time pressure. Bedford County's flood exposure at the 68th percentile nationally adds a hazard layer that can persist or intensify after hurricane-force winds have passed, particularly in low-lying inland areas. Bedford County residents benefit from registering with the county's special-needs evacuation registry if household members have mobility limitations, require electricity-dependent medical equipment, or cannot self-evacuate — registration in advance of storm season is required.

Regional Context

Bedford County is 17.9 composite risk points above the Virginia average, indicating that residents face greater natural hazard exposure than most of their in-state neighbors.

Is your household prepared for Bedford County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Bedford County, VA?
Bedford County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 51th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Bedford County?
Bedford County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (73th percentile), flooding (68th percentile), wildfire (67th percentile), earthquake (60th percentile), tornado (25th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 73th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Bedford County risk compare to the Virginia average?
Bedford County's composite risk percentile is 51th, compared to the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Bedford County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Virginia.
Is Bedford County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Bedford County's hurricane risk is at the 73th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Bedford County is at the 68th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Bedford County higher risk than average?
Bedford County's composite risk score of 51th percentile is above the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by hurricane exposure (73th percentile), along with flooding and wildfire and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.