riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Wise County Disaster Risk

Wise County, Virginia

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

50th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#36

of 133 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

66th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 66% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 84% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 22% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 58% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 49% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Wise County, Virginia

Wise County faces above-average disaster risk

With a composite risk score of 50.41, Wise County ranks in the relatively low category but substantially exceeds the national average. This Appalachian mountain county's exposure is driven primarily by extreme wildfire risk (84.26) and significant flood danger (66.25).

Among Virginia's highest-risk counties

Wise County's score of 50.41 far exceeds Virginia's state average of 33.27, placing it among the commonwealth's most hazard-prone areas. Its wildfire risk of 84.26 ranks among the highest in Virginia, reflecting dense forest cover and seasonal drought vulnerability.

Riskiest in its region

Wise County's 50.41 composite score is higher than neighboring Wythe County (48.73) and far exceeds Winchester city (16.86) to the north. This elevated risk reflects Wise's mountainous terrain, dense vegetation, and position in Virginia's most fire-prone zone.

Wildfire and flooding dominate here

Wildfire risk at 84.26 is Wise County's defining hazard—among the highest in Virginia—driven by extensive forests and seasonal fire conditions. Flood risk (66.25) compounds the danger, as mountain storms and snowmelt create rapid runoff on steep terrain.

Defensible space and evacuation plans save lives

Clear trees and brush 30+ feet from your home, maintain a non-flammable roof, and keep gutters leaf-free—these steps dramatically reduce wildfire risk in your immediate area. Create a detailed evacuation plan with alternate routes, secure flood insurance for any property in or near floodplains, and stay informed through local emergency alerts.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Wise County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    84th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    66th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    58th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Wise County

Risk Verdict

Wise County's FEMA risk score places it at the 50th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. A moderate composite score often means one or two hazard categories are doing the heavy lifting — knowing which ones matters for preparation.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Wise County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 84th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 66th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (58th percentile), hurricane (49th percentile), tornado (22th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wise County sits at the 84th percentile for wildfire exposure. Signing up for Wise County's county emergency alert system and knowing the pre-planned evacuation route before conditions deteriorate are the two highest-value preparedness actions for residents here. Alongside wildfire, flood at the 66th percentile nationally means a multi-season preparedness mindset — fire season and flood or storm season often require different household plans. In Wise County, wildfire smoke often precedes the flame front by hours or days; households benefit from tracking EPA's AirNow.gov and having HEPA air filtration available as a first line of indoor protection when air quality alerts are issued.

Regional Context

The Virginia county average is 17.1 composite points below Wise County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Wise County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Wise County, VA?
Wise County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 50th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Wise County?
Wise County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (84th percentile), flooding (66th percentile), earthquake (58th percentile), hurricane (49th percentile), tornado (22th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 84th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Wise County risk compare to the Virginia average?
Wise County's composite risk percentile is 50th, compared to the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Wise County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Virginia.
Is Wise County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Wise County's wildfire risk is at the 84th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Wise County is at the 66th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Wise County higher risk than average?
Wise County's composite risk score of 50th percentile is above the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (84th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.