riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Fauquier County Disaster Risk

Fauquier County, Virginia

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

48th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#39

of 133 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

66th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 66% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 35% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 16% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 61% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 72% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Fauquier County, Virginia

Fauquier faces above-average disaster risk

With a composite risk score of 47.68, Fauquier County ranks in the relatively low category—but still exceeds Virginia's state average of 33.27. The county's exposure to hurricanes (72.13), earthquakes (61.20), and floods (65.78) outpaces most communities across the nation.

Among Virginia's higher-risk counties

Fauquier's composite score of 47.68 places it well above the state average of 33.27, making it one of Virginia's more hazard-exposed areas. This elevated risk reflects the county's geographic positioning along major flood corridors and seismic zones.

Fauquier outpaces nearby Frederick County

Frederick County (44.72) sits slightly below Fauquier's 47.68, while nearby Floyd County (6.62) and Galax (6.81) face dramatically lower risks. Fauquier's higher composite score is driven primarily by hurricane (72.13) and earthquake (61.20) exposure that its western neighbors do not share equally.

Hurricanes and earthquakes lead threats

Hurricane risk (72.13) is Fauquier's most significant hazard, with tropical systems regularly reaching the region and bringing heavy rainfall and flooding. Earthquake risk (61.20) and flood risk (65.78) also pose considerable concerns, while tornado risk (16.48) remains comparatively low.

Secure flood and earthquake coverage now

Standard homeowners policies exclude both flood and earthquake damage—two of Fauquier's top three risks. Residents should obtain separate flood insurance and evaluate earthquake coverage to protect against the county's most probable hazards.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Fauquier County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    72th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    66th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    61th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Fauquier County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard pressure in Fauquier County is below the national midpoint, with a composite score at the 48th percentile. Fauquier County residents can take confidence from a 48th percentile ranking, but even lower-risk counties benefit from a practiced household communication plan and awareness of the specific hazards listed above.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is Fauquier County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 72th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 66th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (61th percentile), wildfire (35th percentile), tornado (16th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Hurricane exposure at the 72th percentile nationally makes Fauquier County a county where pre-season preparedness — not storm-day preparation — determines outcomes. Fauquier County evacuation decisions under a watch or warning benefit from prior planning, not routes improvised under time pressure. Fauquier County's flood exposure at the 66th percentile nationally adds a hazard layer that can persist or intensify after hurricane-force winds have passed, particularly in low-lying inland areas. Fauquier County residents benefit from registering with the county's special-needs evacuation registry if household members have mobility limitations, require electricity-dependent medical equipment, or cannot self-evacuate — registration in advance of storm season is required.

Regional Context

Fauquier County is 14.4 composite risk points above the Virginia average, indicating that residents face greater natural hazard exposure than most of their in-state neighbors.

Is your household prepared for Fauquier County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Fauquier County, VA?
Fauquier County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 48th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Fauquier County?
Fauquier County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (72th percentile), flooding (66th percentile), earthquake (61th percentile), wildfire (35th percentile), tornado (16th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 72th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Fauquier County risk compare to the Virginia average?
Fauquier County's composite risk percentile is 48th, compared to the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Fauquier County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Virginia.
Is Fauquier County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Fauquier County's hurricane risk is at the 72th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Fauquier County is at the 66th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Fauquier County higher risk than average?
Fauquier County's composite risk score of 48th percentile is above the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by hurricane exposure (72th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.