riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Madison County Disaster Risk

Madison County, Virginia

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

8th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#111

of 133 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

20th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 20% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 40% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 14% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 44% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 70% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Madison County, Virginia

Madison has the lowest composite risk score

With a composite risk score of 8.43 and a Very Low rating, Madison County represents one of the safest communities in the nation for natural disasters. The county's score is far below both the national average and Virginia's state average of 33.27.

Virginia's safest county overall

Madison County ranks at or near the bottom of Virginia's disaster risk rankings, with the lowest composite score among the eight profiled communities. This Very Low rating reflects minimal exposure across nearly all major hazard categories.

Significantly safer than surrounding counties

Madison's risk score of 8.43 is substantially lower than Lunenburg County (19.85) and dramatically lower than Mecklenburg County (54.33). The county's protected status makes it among the most naturally secure areas in central Virginia.

Wildfire risk leads modest threat profile

Madison County's highest individual risk comes from wildfire at 39.76, though this remains below state average thresholds. Tornado (13.90), flood (19.53), and earthquake (44.27) risks are all relatively modest, making the county exceptionally safe overall.

Standard coverage sufficient for low-risk area

Madison County's very low disaster risk means standard homeowners insurance typically provides adequate protection for most residents. However, property owners in forested areas should ensure their policies cover wildfire damage, and all residents should maintain basic emergency preparedness regardless of low-risk status.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Madison County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    70th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    44th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    40th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Madison County

Risk Verdict

Natural disaster exposure in Madison County is lower than roughly three-quarters of U.S. counties, with a composite score at the 8th percentile. Even at the 8th percentile, Madison County's composite score reflects real hazard exposure categories — knowing which ones apply locally enables targeted, efficient household preparedness.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is Madison County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 70th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 44th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (40th percentile), flood (20th percentile), tornado (14th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 70th percentile nationally for hurricane risk, Madison County is in a zone where flood insurance matters beyond the primary wind risk: NFIP flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period before taking effect, making off-season enrollment the correct timing. Earthquake at the 44th percentile nationally is Madison County's secondary hazard, often intensified by the same weather systems that produce hurricane conditions. For Madison County households, the hurricane preparedness calendar matters: flood insurance has a 30-day waiting period, wind-hardening retrofits take weeks to schedule, and evacuation route scouting is best done before a storm watch is issued.

Regional Context

Madison County is 24.8 composite risk points below the Virginia state mean, meaning most other Virginia counties face higher natural hazard exposure.

Is your household prepared for Madison County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Madison County, VA?
Madison County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 8th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Madison County?
Madison County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (70th percentile), earthquake (44th percentile), wildfire (40th percentile), flooding (20th percentile), tornado (14th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 70th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Madison County risk compare to the Virginia average?
Madison County's composite risk percentile is 8th, compared to the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Madison County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Virginia.
Is Madison County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Madison County's hurricane risk is at the 70th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Madison County is at the 20th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Madison County a safe place to live?
Madison County's composite risk score of 8th percentile is below the Virginia state average of 33th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is hurricane at the 70th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.