riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Smyth County Disaster Risk

Smyth County, Virginia

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

58th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#26

of 133 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

62th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 62% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 31% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 21% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 62% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 58% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Smyth County, Virginia

Smyth County faces moderate national risk

Smyth County scores 57.79 with a Relatively Low rating, running 24.5 points above Virginia's state average of 33.27. The elevation reflects particular vulnerability to earthquakes and hurricanes, though floods and wildfires also pose measurable threats.

Upper-middle risk tier in Virginia

Smyth County ranks among Virginia's more exposed counties at 57.79, placing it well above most Commonwealth communities. The rating reflects the intersection of Appalachian seismic activity and weather system exposure.

Comparable risk to Shenandoah County

Smyth County's 57.79 score closely mirrors Shenandoah County's 59.83, though the two counties face different top hazards. Shenandoah's hurricane risk (80.14) far exceeds Smyth's (57.99), while Smyth's flood exposure (61.90) runs slightly lower.

Earthquakes and hurricanes lead threats

Earthquake risk at 61.51 represents Smyth County's dominant hazard, reflecting the county's position in Virginia's seismic zone. Hurricane risk at 57.99 and flood risk at 61.90 form a secondary tier of concern, while wildfire risk remains manageable at 31.27.

Add earthquake insurance to your policy

Smyth County residents should prioritize earthquake insurance; at 61.51 risk, coverage gaps in standard homeowners policies could prove costly. Flood insurance also deserves consideration, particularly for properties in low-lying or riparian zones, given the 61.90 flood risk score.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Smyth County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    62th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    62th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    58th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Smyth County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard pressure in Smyth County is below the national midpoint, with a composite score at the 58th percentile. Proactive emergency planning and awareness of the specific hazards driving Smyth County's score can meaningfully reduce household risk.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Smyth County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 62th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 62th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (58th percentile), wildfire (31th percentile), tornado (21th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Flood risk is Smyth County's top hazard at the 62th percentile nationally. Households in or near designated flood zones face elevated financial exposure; flood insurance typically requires a 30-day waiting period before it takes effect, so applying before the season is advisable. Secondary earthquake exposure at the 62th percentile adds a second preparedness layer; households should review coverage options and alert sign-up for both hazard types. Households across Smyth County should identify the nearest community shelter and keep a basic emergency kit — water, non-perishable food, medications, flashlight, and battery radio — in a location easy to grab quickly.

Regional Context

Smyth County is 24.5 composite risk points above the Virginia average, indicating that residents face greater natural hazard exposure than most of their in-state neighbors.

Is your household prepared for Smyth County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Smyth County, VA?
Smyth County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 58th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Smyth County?
Smyth County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (62th percentile), earthquake (62th percentile), hurricane (58th percentile), wildfire (31th percentile), tornado (21th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 62th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Smyth County risk compare to the Virginia average?
Smyth County's composite risk percentile is 58th, compared to the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Smyth County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Virginia.
Is Smyth County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Smyth County's flooding risk is at the 62th percentile nationally. This is above the national median.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Smyth County higher risk than average?
Smyth County's composite risk score of 58th percentile is above the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (62th percentile), along with earthquake and hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.