riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

York County Disaster Risk

York County, Virginia

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

45th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#47

of 133 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

58th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 58% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 56% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 42% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 54% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Moderate

Higher than 82% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in York County, Virginia

York County faces heightened disaster exposure

York County's composite risk score of 44.66 ranks it in the relatively low category but notably above the national average. Its coastal Peninsula location drives extreme hurricane risk (81.69) and significant flood exposure (57.92), offsetting lower tornado and wildfire threats.

High-risk coastal Virginia position

York County's 44.66 score exceeds Virginia's state average of 33.27, reflecting its status as one of the commonwealth's most hurricane-vulnerable areas. This southeastern location makes it consistently exposed to Atlantic storm systems and seasonal surge risk.

Riskier than nearby Williamsburg

York County's 44.66 composite score significantly exceeds Williamsburg city (2.42) just to the north, despite both being on the Peninsula. The difference reflects York's greater exposure to hurricane-force winds, storm surge, and tidal flooding along its longer waterfront.

Hurricanes dominate; tornadoes rising

Hurricane risk at 81.69 is York County's defining hazard—the highest among the five counties profiled here—driven by direct Atlantic exposure and frequent storm track alignment. Tornado risk (42.37) and wildfire risk (55.92) also demand respect, as spring severe weather and dry summers create compound seasonal threats.

Hurricane readiness is non-negotiable here

Ensure your homeowners insurance includes windstorm and flood coverage; standard policies exclude both, leaving you exposed in a major hurricane. Install storm shutters or impact-resistant windows, trim trees, reinforce your roof deck, and maintain an evacuation plan with family communication protocols updated annually.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in York County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    82th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    58th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    56th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: York County

Risk Verdict

With a national percentile rank of 45th, York County faces below-average hazard exposure relative to U.S. counties as a whole. York County's 45th percentile ranking is favorable, though every county carries at least one natural hazard worth knowing — reviewing the specific risks listed above helps households focus their preparedness where it matters most.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is York County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 82th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 58th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (56th percentile), earthquake (54th percentile), tornado (42th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 82th percentile nationally for hurricane exposure, York County households benefit from reviewing both homeowners and flood insurance coverage before storm season begins — standard policies often exclude storm surge, which is the leading cause of hurricane fatalities. York County's flood exposure at the 58th percentile nationally adds a hazard layer that can persist or intensify after hurricane-force winds have passed, particularly in low-lying inland areas. Hurricane-force winds cause direct property damage, but storm surge causes the majority of hurricane-related deaths. York County households near tidal water or low-elevation areas should verify whether they are in a storm surge risk zone.

Regional Context

At 11.4 points above the Virginia state average, York County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical Virginia county.

Is your household prepared for York County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in York County, VA?
York County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 45th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect York County?
York County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (82th percentile), flooding (58th percentile), wildfire (56th percentile), earthquake (54th percentile), tornado (42th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 82th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does York County risk compare to the Virginia average?
York County's composite risk percentile is 45th, compared to the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means York County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Virginia.
Is York County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, York County's hurricane risk is at the 82th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, York County is at the 58th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is York County higher risk than average?
York County's composite risk score of 45th percentile is above the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by hurricane exposure (82th percentile), along with flooding and wildfire and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.