riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Skagit County Disaster Risk

Skagit County, Washington

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

89th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#18

of 39 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

91th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 91% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 53% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 11% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Skagit County, Washington

Skagit County faces moderate disaster risk

Skagit County scores 88.77 on the composite risk scale, well above Washington's state average of 70.01 and in the relatively moderate risk category nationally. This means Skagit residents face more frequent or severe natural hazard exposure than the typical American county. The county's agricultural base and proximity to the Puget Sound create multiple interconnected disaster threats.

Fourth-riskiest county in Washington

Skagit County ranks fourth statewide for overall disaster risk, behind Pierce (98.54), Snohomish (97.87), and Pacific (92.75) counties. Skagit's highest scores are earthquake (96.98) and flood (91.40), reflecting major vulnerabilities concentrated in these two hazard types. The county's 88.77 composite score places it in the upper tier of Washington risk rankings, above nearly 80% of the state's counties.

Higher risk than southern Puget Sound

Skagit County's 88.77 score exceeds Snohomish County's by a small margin (97.87 vs 88.77) when considering similar hazard profiles, though Snohomish ranks slightly higher overall. Compared to San Juan County (35.37) to the north, Skagit faces dramatically more earthquake and flood exposure due to its mainland location and river systems. Whatcom County to the north shares similar flood and earthquake vulnerabilities, making the Puget Sound corridor consistently high-risk.

Floods and earthquakes threaten communities

Flood risk at 91.40 is Skagit County's most acute hazard, affecting the Skagit River valley where agricultural areas and communities face recurring inundation during winter storms and spring snowmelt. Earthquake risk (96.98) ranks among the state's highest, reflecting the county's position over the Cascadia Subduction Zone and proximity to multiple fault systems. Tornado risk remains minimal at 11.16, so emergency preparedness should focus on seismic resilience and flood mitigation rather than severe weather sheltering.

Flood and earthquake coverage mandatory

Skagit County homeowners must obtain flood insurance through the National Flood Insurance Program, particularly if located in the mapped floodplain of the Skagit River or tributary systems. Earthquake insurance is equally essential, as standard homeowners policies exclude seismic damage—the county's 96.98 earthquake risk is among Washington's highest. Retrofit your home's foundation for seismic stability and elevate utilities above projected flood levels if in a flood-prone area.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Skagit County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    97th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    91th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    53th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Skagit County

Risk Verdict

At the 89th percentile nationally, Skagit County sits in the upper half of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure. At this risk level, having a documented household preparedness plan — not just awareness — is the meaningful next step for Skagit County residents.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Skagit County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 97th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 91th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (53th percentile), tornado (11th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With earthquake ranked as the top hazard at the 97th percentile nationally, Skagit County residents benefit from reviewing homeowners insurance: standard policies rarely cover earthquake damage, and separate earthquake insurance must be purchased before an event. Flood at the 91th percentile nationally is a separate hazard dimension for Skagit County that requires different protective strategies from earthquake preparedness. Earthquake insurance in Skagit County is typically offered as a separate policy — standard homeowners coverage excludes ground movement. Reviewing this gap and comparing policy options before an event is a financial preparedness step with potentially large consequences.

Regional Context

The Washington county average is 18.8 composite points below Skagit County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Skagit County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Skagit County, WA?
Skagit County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 89th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Skagit County?
Skagit County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (97th percentile), flooding (91th percentile), wildfire (53th percentile), tornado (11th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 97th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Skagit County risk compare to the Washington average?
Skagit County's composite risk percentile is 89th, compared to the Washington state average of 70th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Skagit County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Washington.
Is Skagit County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Skagit County's earthquake risk is at the 97th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Skagit County is at the 91th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Skagit County higher risk than average?
Skagit County's composite risk score of 89th percentile is above the Washington state average of 70th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (97th percentile), along with flooding and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.