riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Elmore County Disaster Risk

Elmore County, Alabama

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

72th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#25

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

81th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 81% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 62% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 76% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 75% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 75% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Elmore County, Alabama

Elmore's Risk Exceeds National Baseline

Elmore County scores 72.17 for overall composite disaster risk, qualifying as Relatively Low but still above the national average across most hazard types. The county faces balanced exposure to multiple threats, with floods and tornadoes posing the most significant challenges.

Moderate Risk Within Alabama

At 72.17, Elmore's composite score surpasses Alabama's 61.54 state average, positioning it in the higher-risk category statewide. The county's well-rounded hazard profile means residents face somewhat elevated exposure across floods, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes simultaneously.

Central Alabama's Risk Hub

Elmore County's 72.17 score falls between safer nearby counties like Fayette (38.17) and higher-risk neighbors like Etowah (87.34). Its balanced risk profile makes it moderately vulnerable compared to the state's safest counties but better positioned than Alabama's most hazard-prone regions.

Floods and Tornadoes Drive Risk

Flood risk leads at 80.57, reflecting Elmore's river systems and seasonal water hazards that affect homes and infrastructure year-round. Tornadoes follow at 75.60, making spring severe weather a significant seasonal threat that demands preparedness.

Prioritize Flood and Wind Insurance

Standard homeowners policies exclude flood damage, making separate flood insurance essential for Elmore County residents—particularly those in mapped floodplains or near waterways. Ensure your wind coverage is adequate for tornado season, and maintain clear drainage around your home to reduce flooding vulnerability.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Elmore County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    81th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    76th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    75th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Elmore County

Risk Verdict

With a national percentile rank of 72th, Elmore County faces below-average hazard exposure relative to U.S. counties as a whole. Above-average risk does not mean imminent danger; it signals that informed, hazard-specific preparedness has high value here.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Elmore County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 81th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 76th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (75th percentile), earthquake (75th percentile), wildfire (62th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With flood risk ranking at the 81th percentile nationally, Elmore County residents face one of the most financially damaging hazards without specialized coverage. Flood insurance through the NFIP or a private carrier is worth evaluating regardless of current mortgage requirements. The county's second-ranked hazard, tornado at the 76th percentile nationally, means Elmore County residents face compounding risks from multiple natural hazard types during peak seasons. Registering for Elmore County's county emergency alert system — typically through the county emergency management office's website — ensures households receive early warning when flood events develop faster than forecast.

Regional Context

At 10.6 points above the Alabama state average, Elmore County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical Alabama county.

Is your household prepared for Elmore County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Elmore County, AL?
Elmore County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 72th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Elmore County?
Elmore County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (81th percentile), tornado (76th percentile), hurricane (75th percentile), earthquake (75th percentile), wildfire (62th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 81th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Elmore County risk compare to the Alabama average?
Elmore County's composite risk percentile is 72th, compared to the Alabama state average of 62th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Elmore County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Alabama.
Is Elmore County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Elmore County's flooding risk is at the 81th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Elmore County higher risk than average?
Elmore County's composite risk score of 72th percentile is above the Alabama state average of 62th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (81th percentile), along with tornado and hurricane and earthquake and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.