riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Chaffee County Disaster Risk

Chaffee County, Colorado

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

51th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#21

of 64 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

65th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 65% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 72% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 13% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 40% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Chaffee County, Colorado

Chaffee's risk exceeds the national average

Chaffee County scores 51.11 on composite risk, placing it in the relatively low category but well above the nation's average. This means residents face a meaningful but manageable combination of natural hazards compared to typical American counties.

Above-average risk for Colorado

At 51.11, Chaffee's composite risk score significantly outpaces Colorado's state average of 40.67. The county ranks in the upper half of Colorado's 64 counties for disaster exposure.

Riskier than nearby mountain counties

Chaffee faces notably higher composite risk (51.11) compared to Clear Creek County (46.72) to the north and Custer County (3.91) to the south. The variation reflects Chaffee's particular vulnerability to flooding and wildfires.

Wildfire and flood dominate the threat picture

Chaffee's wildfire risk scores 71.69 and flood risk 64.69—both well above state averages. Tornado risk is minimal at 12.72, making flood and fire the two hazards requiring serious preparedness.

Prioritize flood and wildfire coverage now

Standard homeowners policies exclude flood damage; securing a separate flood insurance policy is essential given your county's 64.69 flood risk score. Review your wildfire mitigation coverage and ensure your home meets current building codes in fire-prone zones.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Chaffee County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    72th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    65th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    40th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Chaffee County

Risk Verdict

Chaffee County has a below-average natural disaster risk profile, scoring at the 51th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Households in Chaffee County benefit from knowing which individual hazard types — flood, wildfire, tornado, or hurricane — are the primary contributors.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Chaffee County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 72th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 65th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (40th percentile), tornado (13th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire is Chaffee County's top-ranked natural hazard at the 72th percentile nationally. Chaffee County residents should assess whether their property lies within or adjacent to a Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) zone, where ember transport and rapid spread pose the highest risk. A secondary flood exposure at the 65th percentile nationally means Chaffee County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. For Chaffee County households, a practiced evacuation plan — with a primary and backup route designated before a fire occurs — provides more protection than any structural improvement when a wildfire approaches fast-moving terrain.

Regional Context

Chaffee County's composite risk score sits 10.4 points above the Colorado county average, placing it among the more hazard-exposed counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Chaffee County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Chaffee County, CO?
Chaffee County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 51th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Chaffee County?
Chaffee County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (72th percentile), flooding (65th percentile), earthquake (40th percentile), tornado (13th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 72th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Chaffee County risk compare to the Colorado average?
Chaffee County's composite risk percentile is 51th, compared to the Colorado state average of 41th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Chaffee County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Colorado.
Is Chaffee County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Chaffee County's wildfire risk is at the 72th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Chaffee County is at the 65th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Chaffee County higher risk than average?
Chaffee County's composite risk score of 51th percentile is above the Colorado state average of 41th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (72th percentile), along with flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.