riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Otero County Disaster Risk

Otero County, Colorado

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

51th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#22

of 64 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

60th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 60% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 76% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 33% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 35% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Otero County, Colorado

Otero County: Moderate Risk, Above National Average

Otero County's composite risk score of 50.73 exceeds the national average, earning a "Relatively Low" rating with meaningful exposure to multiple hazard types. The county's location in southeastern Colorado creates unique combinations of wildfire, earthquake, flood, and tornado risks.

Above-Average Risk for Colorado

Otero County's score of 50.73 ranks it above Colorado's state average of 40.67, placing it in the higher-risk tier statewide. This reflects the county's diverse hazard exposure across wildfire, flood, tornado, and seismic zones.

Higher Tornado Risk Than Eastern Neighbors

Otero County's tornado risk (33.27) is notably lower than neighboring Morgan County (66.54) to the north but higher than mountain counties to the west. Its wildfire risk (75.92) aligns with the broader southwestern Colorado pattern affecting both Montezuma and Montrose counties.

Wildfire and Flood Top the List

Wildfire risk ranks highest at 75.92, reflecting Otero County's forested areas and dry conditions, while flood risk at 60.15 threatens properties in river valleys and drainage areas. Tornado risk (33.27) and earthquake risk (35.37) present secondary concerns.

Wildfire and Flood Coverage Critical

Otero County residents must add wildfire insurance to their policies, as it's not covered by standard homeowners plans, especially given your county's 75.92 wildfire score. Check FEMA flood maps for your property; if in a high-risk zone, flood insurance may be required.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Otero County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    76th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    60th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    35th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Otero County

Risk Verdict

Otero County's FEMA risk score places it at the 51th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. A moderate composite score often means one or two hazard categories are doing the heavy lifting — knowing which ones matters for preparation.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Otero County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 76th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 60th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (35th percentile), tornado (33th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Otero County sits at the 76th percentile for wildfire exposure. Signing up for Otero County's county emergency alert system and knowing the pre-planned evacuation route before conditions deteriorate are the two highest-value preparedness actions for residents here. The county's flood exposure at the 60th percentile nationally complements the wildfire risk — saturating rain after burn scarring often triggers secondary flood and debris flow events. In Otero County, wildfire smoke often precedes the flame front by hours or days; households benefit from tracking EPA's AirNow.gov and having HEPA air filtration available as a first line of indoor protection when air quality alerts are issued.

Regional Context

The Colorado county average is 10.1 composite points below Otero County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Otero County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Otero County, CO?
Otero County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 51th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Otero County?
Otero County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (76th percentile), flooding (60th percentile), earthquake (35th percentile), tornado (33th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 76th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Otero County risk compare to the Colorado average?
Otero County's composite risk percentile is 51th, compared to the Colorado state average of 41th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Otero County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Colorado.
Is Otero County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Otero County's wildfire risk is at the 76th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Otero County is at the 60th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Otero County higher risk than average?
Otero County's composite risk score of 51th percentile is above the Colorado state average of 41th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (76th percentile), along with flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.